NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	10.0 [67]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): +21.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	3.4 [382]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -26.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.18	0.09	0.12	0.02	19	62%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.10
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Acie Earl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	18	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Clifford Rozier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Long	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	48%	-0.10	1	-0.03	11	36%	-0.12
Walt Williams	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	13	28%	-0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3,-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	6	-0.32	2	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.00	7	77%	0.34	3	-0.13	8	37%	-0.07
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.2	0.20	-0.13	0.33	-0.00	10	44%	0.34	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	14	68%	0.18	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,0,-0.08,0,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	24	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.02
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	13	50%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.6	26.3	14.8	26.1	1.4	35.3	128.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +71.2%

TOR -17.6%

TOR -15.1%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.6	105.3	108.6	104.4
season	16.1	14.7		102.2	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	16.3	18.0	17.8	16.5
PHI	13.6	15.7	13.9	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-9	16	15.9	16.8	-0.87	15.5	13.6	1.88
Clifford Rozier	32	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-2	2	17.2	16.1	1.07	15.2	13.9	1.36
Acie Earl	2	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	0	-2	16.5	16.5	0.02	15.0	14.3	0.71
Walt Williams	55	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	1	-4	16.3	16.7	-0.37	14.5	14.0	0.56
Damon Stoudamire	89	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	16.7	12.4	4.31	14.5	10.4	4.13
Marcus Camby	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	4	-10	16.4	16.5	-0.10	13.7	15.3	-1.58
John Long	52	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.54	4	-6	10	17.3	15.4	1.94	14.4	14.2	0.23
Doug Christie	71	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	4	-10	15.9	18.1	-2.19	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Popeye Jones	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	4	-10	16.2	17.6	-1.40	13.8	16.6	-2.72

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	67	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.45	15	-13	28	14.0	15.1	-1.06	16.0	17.8	-1.82
Allen Iverson	84	82	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-11	24	14.2	15.7	-1.50	16.4	17.0	-0.60
Michael Cage	53	52	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	13.5	15.4	-2.00	16.9	16.0	0.91
Jerry Stackhouse	83	83	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-4	10	14.3	14.1	0.24	16.5	16.0	0.54
Rex Walters	73	75	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.49	-7	9	-16	14.1	14.9	-0.81	16.8	15.3	1.52
Derrick Coleman	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	2	-2	14.9	13.9	0.99	15.3	17.3	-2.05
Mark Davis	10	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	16.0	14.1	1.89	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Adrian Caldwell	3	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	7	-12	18.7	14.2	4.50	18.7	16.4	2.37
Don MacLean	45	47	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.15	-5	7	-12	14.8	13.8	1.03	17.0	15.9	1.13
Doug Overton	9	12	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.05	-11	13	-24	15.7	14.2	1.50	17.0	16.4	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.66,0.77,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.34,0.57,0.85,1	91.0%
PHI 87, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.67,0.38,0.39,0.15,0.58,1	90.1%
CHI 90, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.84,1	90.0%