inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 83 Excitement10.2 [61] MVPMark Jackson (DEN): +41.3%
Vancouver Grizzlies 82 Comeback14.7 [62] LVPDale Ellis (DEN): -27.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Jackson0.410,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.41-0.010.430.01876%0.565-0.1510%-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis0.400,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.4-0.030.440.011945%0.421-0.032100%0.04
Ricky Pierce0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00860%0.041-0.03475%-0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.070,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01932%-0.031-0.0410%-0.01
Kenny Smith-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1-0.02-0.08-0.00664%0.143-0.24250%-0.01
Tom Hammonds-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.100.00250%-0.032-0.1100%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.09-0.031241%-0.083-0.11862%-0.02
Dale Ellis-0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.27-0.10-0.21-0.041142%-0.154-0.122100%0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.16,0.160.16-0.000.170.011543%0.1600.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.030.011949%0.0200.00560%-0.01
Chris Robinson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Blue Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.02-0.00420%-0.0300.002100%0.04
Pete Chilcutt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Lee Mayberry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.000.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.001042%-0.0700.00475%0.12
Bryant Reeves0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.012348%0.104-0.17250%-0.01
Lawrence Moten0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.120.00664%0.065-0.24250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.425.515.626.21.835.8131.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +85.7%
VAN -17.4%
DEN +15.6%
VAN -41.6%
DEN +7.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENVANNBADENVANNBA
this game15.916.315.694.390.1104.4
season15.216.3102.397.9
opponent15.515.3109.2108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN18.114.015.116.915.9
VAN16.315.417.615.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Pierce51540.94-0.441.380.737-61315.915.9-0.0616.815.51.26
LaPhonso Ellis64690.63-0.130.760.379-81715.716.5-0.7616.415.70.77
Dale Ellis44430.58-0.080.660.70-45-916.315.50.8215.417.1-1.69
Antonio McDyess68710.460.040.420.49-12-315.816.1-0.3116.415.70.72
Mark Jackson73770.360.140.210.44-34-715.915.90.0515.818.8-2.98
Tom Hammonds35360.050.45-0.400.08-12-315.016.5-1.5116.815.90.85
Ervin Johnson5353-0.250.75-1.01-0.2501-116.515.01.5116.516.00.50
Kenny Smith5252-0.260.76-1.02-0.20-23-515.915.90.0316.116.5-0.35

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Moten4745-0.01-0.490.48-0.186-71315.617.0-1.4715.416.4-1.00
Pete Chilcutt2122-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-2317.016.00.9613.816.6-2.79
Chris Robinson10-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-111.016.4-15.430.015.9-15.91
Lee Mayberry3131-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-32-517.415.71.7516.815.41.39
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7673-0.18-0.320.150.15-1110-2116.415.60.7915.716.9-1.15
Roy Rogers2120-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.5811-122315.716.4-0.7120.214.65.55
Blue Edwards6159-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.401-2316.515.70.7915.217.3-2.14
Greg Anthony6057-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.472-3515.717.4-1.7515.416.8-1.39
Bryant Reeves8683-0.550.05-0.59-0.43-43-716.021.0-5.0115.915.80.12
Anthony Peeler5150-0.570.07-0.64-0.33-87-1517.115.21.9016.714.91.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.49,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 100, GSW 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,092.1%
ORL 90, IND 860.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.18,091.7%
IND 81, MIA 750.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.6,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,091.7%