NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	8.6 [159]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +33.9%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	4.9 [187]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -20.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	7	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Chris Childs	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	62%	0.13	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.10
Charles Oakley	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Buck Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Larry Johnson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Patrick Ewing	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	20	49%	-0.01	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.09
Charlie Ward	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	4	10%	-0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.00	0.33	-0.00	15	58%	0.41	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	71%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	3	40%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	5	37%	-0.16	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.21	-0.21	0.05	-0.25	0.00	12	71%	-0.06	3	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	32.0	15.8	28.2	2.6	48.0	151.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +0.6%

NYK +24.6%

NYK +5.3%

NYK +24.8%

IND -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.6	101.1	95.7	104.4
season	15.1	15.3		102.0	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.1		101.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	17.7	13.4	14.8	15.6
IND	16.0	15.8	17.7	12.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	69	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	14.6	18.8	-4.24	16.2	13.4	2.83
Charles Oakley	63	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	15.9	14.9	1.03	16.2	14.0	2.17
Charlie Ward	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	2	-2	16.5	14.2	2.29	13.5	18.4	-4.88
Chris Childs	76	79	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	2	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.15	15.9	13.6	2.30
Larry Johnson	56	59	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	14.8	16.9	-2.17	16.3	14.2	2.17
Allan Houston	60	62	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	-1	4	14.7	17.3	-2.51	16.3	14.0	2.28
John Wallace	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	-2	6	17.0	15.0	2.07	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Buck Williams	49	49	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	4	-6	16.8	14.2	2.67	14.1	17.1	-2.94

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	33	30	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-4	6	14.6	16.0	-1.47	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Jerome Allen	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	0	-2	11.4	15.8	-4.36	18.5	15.5	3.03
Rik Smits	51	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	1	-4	16.6	14.3	2.27	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Vincent Askew	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-8	14	12.3	16.9	-4.57	16.7	15.1	1.54
Erick Dampier	9	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	4	-10	14.2	15.7	-1.45	19.6	15.2	4.38
Travis Best	76	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-8	14	15.7	15.0	0.66	14.9	18.1	-3.16
Jalen Rose	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	2	-6	13.1	16.4	-3.29	17.0	15.1	1.92
Dale Davis	70	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-3	4	16.6	12.4	4.24	15.6	15.5	0.14
Reggie Miller	77	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-2	2	16.4	11.8	4.53	15.2	17.4	-2.22
Derrick McKey	41	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	8	-18	17.9	13.7	4.16	15.1	16.0	-0.81
Antonio Davis	55	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-2	2	14.0	17.7	-3.65	16.1	15.0	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.38,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	91.4%
CHA 119, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.42,0	90.9%
ATL 80, CHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.37,0.24,0.72,0	90.0%