NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	119		Excitement	9.2 [152]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +39.9%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	2.3 [528]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -6.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,0.15,0.25,0.4	0.07	0.38	0.05	20	56%	0.48	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.06	-0.03	12	61%	0.22	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.07
Marvin Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	16	59%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Devonte' Graham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.4,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.21	0.00	10	70%	0.35	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.06
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.01	17	64%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	13	79%	0.27	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.06	-0.04	12	66%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	32.3	14.8	26.2	2.4	36.6	139.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -15.2%

CHA +22.6%

CHA +39.5%

CHA +0.7%

CHA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	14.3	117.8	108.7	109.3
season	14.6	14.4		110.4	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	14.3	14.8	14.7	14.8
PHX	13.4	11.0	15.2	14.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	54	56	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-7	20	14.9	14.8	0.09	14.3	12.2	2.08
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	34	34	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	2	2	12.9	15.8	-2.91	15.1	12.4	2.73
Marvin Williams	71	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-3	12	15.5	13.1	2.39	12.7	14.9	-2.16
Nicolas Batum	78	81	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	2	2	14.2	16.7	-2.50	12.6	15.7	-3.12
Kemba Walker	70	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	4	-2	14.9	14.7	0.19	12.2	16.0	-3.83
Malik Monk	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	4	-2	14.9	14.7	0.19	15.5	12.3	3.12
Bismack Biyombo	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	6	-6	16.4	13.7	2.69	13.4	13.2	0.19
Miles Bridges	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	9	-12	16.9	14.1	2.80	15.7	12.6	3.07
Willy Hernangomez	53	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	5	-4	13.7	16.0	-2.34	13.1	13.5	-0.37
Devonte' Graham	45	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	8	-10	14.6	15.0	-0.42	12.1	14.3	-2.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	26	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	13.6	13.2	0.41	16.0	14.4	1.56
Richaun Holmes	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-3	0	14.6	12.7	1.86	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Mikal Bridges	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	13.0	13.9	-0.94	15.2	14.1	1.11
Jamal Crawford	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	12.5	14.2	-1.72	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Elie Okobo	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	2	-10	14.8	12.8	1.99	13.2	15.4	-2.17
Josh Jackson	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-6	6	13.2	13.5	-0.27	14.9	14.7	0.18
De'Anthony Melton	56	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-3	0	13.7	12.8	0.96	15.5	14.0	1.51
Kelly Oubre Jr.	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	5	-16	13.6	13.1	0.45	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Deandre Ayton	70	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	12.7	14.6	-1.86	14.9	14.6	0.34
T.J. Warren	82	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-3	0	13.2	13.7	-0.53	14.7	15.3	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	92.1%
MEM 94, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.21,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.17,0	91.5%
CLE 101, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.15,0	91.5%