NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	7.6 [304]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +26.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	5.5 [300]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -15.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.02	16	65%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Chris Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Nembhard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	13	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
John Stockton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	55%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Karl Malone	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	15	47%	-0.06	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.14	0.01	15	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	6	79%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	71%	0.12	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	16	52%	0.12	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	16	58%	0.11	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.08
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	26.3	15.4	27.4	2.5	38.6	136.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.6%

POR +5.7%

POR +3.6%

UTA -1.2%

UTA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	15.9	15.6	107.9	114.6	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	105.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	16.3	16.4	16.3	16.4
POR	14.7	17.2	15.7	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Howard	24	22	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.05	5	-11	16	17.2	16.1	1.09	13.5	16.8	-3.31
Greg Foster	43	45	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-5	4	16.7	16.2	0.46	16.8	15.1	1.69
Howard Eisley	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-3	0	15.5	16.7	-1.18	12.7	16.9	-4.12
Chris Morris	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-3	0	17.1	16.1	0.99	16.8	15.6	1.27
Ruben Nembhard	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-3	0	19.8	15.5	4.28	17.9	15.4	2.48
Jeff Hornacek	71	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-3	0	15.5	19.8	-4.28	15.6	17.2	-1.68
Bryon Russell	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-3	0	16.1	17.1	-0.99	15.4	17.3	-1.91
John Stockton	69	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-3	0	16.7	15.5	1.18	16.9	12.7	4.12
Karl Malone	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	16.4	16.7	-0.38	15.7	17.1	-1.43
Antoine Carr	37	37	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	2	-10	15.8	16.9	-1.13	16.9	15.3	1.62

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dontonio Wingfield	36	39	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-9	24	15.7	16.1	-0.42	15.8	16.9	-1.15
Kenny Anderson	77	78	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.30	15	-9	24	16.1	15.2	0.90	16.7	14.5	2.13
Clifford Robinson	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	15.6	18.6	-2.91	16.2	18.5	-2.35
Arvydas Sabonis	71	72	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-4	14	16.3	14.7	1.53	17.6	11.4	6.19
Isaiah Rider	74	74	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	5	-4	15.8	16.9	-1.11	15.5	21.0	-5.51
Aaron McKie	20	18	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	4	-2	14.7	16.3	-1.60	20.2	15.5	4.77
Chris Dudley	48	49	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	15.2	16.9	-1.69	15.6	17.4	-1.74
Marcus Brown	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	18.2	15.7	2.53	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Gary Trent	31	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	18	-30	17.8	14.9	2.91	16.4	16.4	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	92.3%
MIL 99, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.96,1	92.2%
CHI 89, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.95,1	91.9%