NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	7.9 [253]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): +47.1%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	6.9 [232]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -29.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.03	0.05	-0.07	25	54%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Toni Kukoc	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.11	0.02	11	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	5	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bill Wennington	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.16	0.01	3	57%	0.00	4	-0.24	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	17	36%	-0.16	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.28,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.08	0.38	-0.00	24	60%	0.53	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.19
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Donald Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	18	40%	-0.02	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.16	0.02	16	49%	-0.04	4	-0.22	5	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	26.4	15.8	23.9	2.7	37.5	131.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +22.7%

TOR +27.5%

TOR +15.2%

CHI -10.8%

CHI -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	17.1	15.6	96.7	106.6	104.4
season	15.5	16.1		110.5	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.1		105.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.3	13.7	14.9	15.7	14.4
TOR	16.7	19.0	17.8	14.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	35	34	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-12	16	14.3	14.5	-0.16	17.4	16.9	0.53
Randy Brown	48	49	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-14	20	14.3	14.5	-0.25	17.4	16.7	0.76
Dennis Rodman	62	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-8	8	15.5	12.3	3.18	18.4	14.3	4.11
Michael Jordan	79	78	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.17	0	-8	8	14.2	15.5	-1.22	16.7	19.4	-2.69
Ron Harper	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-1	-6	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.6	17.7	-2.09
Robert Parish	29	29	-0.32	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	1	-10	14.3	14.5	-0.20	17.3	17.0	0.39
Jason Caffey	20	19	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	14.5	14.4	0.17	17.9	16.8	1.10
Scottie Pippen	83	82	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-3	-2	14.3	15.7	-1.39	17.2	16.2	0.95
Steve Kerr	32	30	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.10	-10	2	-12	14.0	14.6	-0.59	15.8	17.7	-1.90
Toni Kukoc	47	47	-0.70	0.19	-0.89	-0.35	-12	4	-16	14.2	14.7	-0.50	16.3	17.9	-1.57

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharone Wright	66	66	0.70	-0.19	0.89	0.38	11	-3	14	18.8	12.6	6.23	15.2	12.4	2.77
Damon Stoudamire	86	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	17.4	12.2	5.16	14.6	10.4	4.24
Walt Williams	75	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	17.1	17.0	0.09	15.1	11.2	3.83
Doug Christie	74	76	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	1	6	16.7	18.9	-2.22	14.9	11.9	3.07
Popeye Jones	83	83	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	5	-2	17.3	14.9	2.41	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Carlos Rogers	29	30	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	4	0	14.1	18.5	-4.31	11.3	15.9	-4.57
John Long	17	16	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	7	-6	18.9	16.7	2.22	11.9	14.9	-3.07
Donald Whiteside	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	12.2	17.4	-5.16	10.4	14.6	-4.24
Acie Earl	20	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	13	-18	14.7	17.7	-2.98	14.3	14.5	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	92.2%
MIL 99, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.96,1	92.1%
UTA 91, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.99,1	92.0%