NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	81		Excitement	7.3 [362]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +8.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	2.4 [650]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -29.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	13	57%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	20	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Roy Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
George Lynch	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	7	43%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Blue Edwards	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	9	17%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.28,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	19	39%	-0.21	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	69%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.04	12	65%	0.11	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.05	-0.04	18	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	16	37%	-0.12
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	3	29%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	11	18%	-0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	24.9	14.7	26.5	2.0	31.2	124.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +74.8%

VAN -20.8%

LAL +5.2%

VAN -6.4%

VAN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAL	NBA	VAN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.6	82.7	92.9	104.4
season	16.3	15.3		97.9	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.3	16.1	12.6	16.5	14.6
LAL	15.5	12.2	16.9	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	60	59	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.16	4	-14	18	13.7	16.0	-2.29	16.2	12.7	3.44
Greg Anthony	74	75	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-13	16	12.9	19.6	-6.69	15.4	13.0	2.43
Chris Robinson	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-10	10	15.1	14.5	0.58	15.7	14.7	0.97
Bryant Reeves	73	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	13.8	16.8	-3.05	15.1	13.8	1.29
Anthony Peeler	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.18	-3	-7	4	13.9	17.5	-3.67	14.7	15.1	-0.36
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.5	14.8	-0.35	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Roy Rogers	30	28	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.7	13.6	3.12	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Blue Edwards	49	51	-0.60	0.09	-0.69	-0.07	-18	8	-26	16.2	12.9	3.31	13.4	16.4	-2.97
Lee Mayberry	35	34	-0.61	0.10	-0.71	-0.05	-19	9	-28	18.6	12.3	6.27	13.2	15.7	-2.47

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	45	47	0.88	-0.37	1.24	0.05	28	-18	46	14.5	15.1	-0.56	17.0	12.3	4.71
Byron Scott	46	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-5	20	12.5	16.9	-4.37	16.2	13.0	3.19
Nick Van Exel	67	70	0.48	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-2	14	15.7	12.9	2.85	15.3	12.9	2.40
Robert Horry	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	0	10	14.0	15.8	-1.78	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Shaquille O'Neal	72	73	0.39	0.12	0.28	0.13	9	1	8	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.3	12.4	2.92
Eddie Jones	60	60	0.13	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	16.1	12.8	3.22	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Derek Fisher	31	28	0.03	0.48	-0.45	0.09	-2	12	-14	12.9	15.7	-2.85	12.9	15.3	-2.40
Sean Rooks	3	2	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.06	-2	12	-14	14.0	14.8	-0.84	2.5	14.8	-12.32
Joe Kleine	4	3	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.06	-2	12	-14	14.7	14.8	-0.07	7.3	14.8	-7.47
Kobe Bryant	16	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	15	-20	11.6	15.4	-3.81	10.2	15.2	-5.00
Jerome Kersey	39	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	18	-26	16.4	13.8	2.60	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Elden Campbell	52	53	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	20	-30	16.3	13.1	3.18	13.0	16.4	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 128, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	94.0%
NOK 82, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.0%
BKN 91, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.96,1	92.4%