NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	91		Excitement	6.5 [494]		MVP	Mike Miller (CLE): +27.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	2.5 [984]		LVP	Kevin Love (CLE): -15.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	9	61%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	11	59%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0	0.07	-0.07	0.00	18	68%	0.21	5	-0.22	2	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	12	42%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.00	8	131%	0.31	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.03	18	50%	0.18	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	18	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	10	25%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	32.2	15.6	25.2	2.4	33.2	135.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +6.8%

CLE +13.9%

CLE +22.4%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CLE	NBA	BKN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.1	95.8	100.0	104.2
season	15.3	15.9		102.9	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.8	15.4	16.2	15.0	15.0
CLE	15.7	13.4	17.3	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	20	20	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-9	14	14.8	15.1	-0.23	16.0	15.1	0.97
Mason Plumlee	56	57	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.39	16	-20	36	14.7	15.5	-0.77	16.1	14.0	2.14
Kevin Garnett	60	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-14	24	15.2	14.8	0.41	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Bojan Bogdanovic	4	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	2	-8	16.7	15.0	1.79	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Darius Morris	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	16.6	14.9	1.74	17.0	15.1	1.90
Jerome Jordan	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	8	-20	15.5	14.9	0.66	13.4	15.8	-2.39
Brandon Davies	19	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.14	-4	0	-4	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.6	15.2	0.43
Joe Johnson	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-7	10	15.3	13.9	1.33	15.5	14.2	1.38
Sergey Karasev	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.1	14.7	0.39	15.4	15.0	0.43
Alan Anderson	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	3	-10	13.8	15.8	-2.04	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Mirza Teletovic	34	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	12	-28	15.2	15.0	0.23	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Jarrett Jack	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	3	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.46	14.8	16.3	-1.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	53	52	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	15.5	15.0	0.42	15.4	14.6	0.86
Shawn Marion	34	33	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	-11	26	15.4	15.2	0.11	15.2	14.9	0.28
Matthew Dellavedova	26	26	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-5	14	15.3	15.3	0.03	15.9	14.7	1.17
Kyrie Irving	78	78	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.38	-3	7	-10	15.4	14.8	0.63	15.0	15.2	-0.25
Mike Miller	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	5	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.51	15.0	15.2	-0.21
LeBron James	80	81	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	9	-14	15.1	16.2	-1.09	14.7	17.2	-2.56
James Jones	11	12	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-3	10	16.1	15.2	0.91	15.9	14.9	1.01
Kevin Love	79	79	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	9	-14	15.2	15.7	-0.48	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Dion Waiters	14	14	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	0	4	14.2	15.5	-1.25	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Anderson Varejao	33	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	10	-16	15.7	15.0	0.68	15.2	15.0	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 84, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%
NJN 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.96,1	93.3%
ATL 99, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.84,0.99,0.99,1	92.8%