NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	5.1 [775]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +17.0%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.2 [875]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -13.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	80%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Respert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	53%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Vin Baker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.03	-0.03	0.08	14	65%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Lang	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	19	54%	0.02	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	24	59%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	91%	0.07	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	15	47%	0.03	5	-0.11	2	0%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	14	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	27.1	15.5	31.6	2.4	34.2	134.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.6%

NYK +4.7%

NYK +18.1%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.6	98.9	103.2	104.4
season	16.0	15.1		103.9	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.5		98.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	16.1	17.5	13.5	15.8
NYK	14.7	15.2	12.5	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	14.9	15.9	-0.98	16.0	14.9	1.08
David Wood	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-11	17	16.5	15.7	0.77	21.5	14.2	7.27
Chucky Brown	7	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	15.1	15.8	-0.68	18.2	14.7	3.52
Shawn Respert	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-9	13	17.3	15.4	1.86	18.6	14.3	4.25
Elliot Perry	46	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-12	19	14.8	16.7	-1.92	16.5	13.6	2.87
Armen Gilliam	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-10	15	15.3	16.3	-0.99	16.0	14.0	2.02
Sherman Douglas	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	7	-19	16.7	14.8	1.92	13.6	16.5	-2.87
Vin Baker	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.4	19.3	-3.94	15.2	13.2	2.05
Andrew Lang	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	10	-25	17.4	13.6	3.81	13.4	17.3	-3.95
Ray Allen	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	4	-13	15.5	16.5	-0.95	14.1	17.6	-3.52
Glenn Robinson	74	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	4	-13	15.3	17.6	-2.27	14.1	19.0	-4.91

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	81	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-6	17	15.1	14.5	0.57	15.8	15.7	0.10
Charlie Ward	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-5	15	14.6	17.2	-2.58	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Charles Oakley	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	14.3	18.1	-3.85	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Larry Johnson	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	-2	9	15.5	13.6	1.94	15.5	16.5	-0.94
Allan Houston	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.22	4	1	3	14.3	16.4	-2.07	14.7	17.6	-2.91
John Starks	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	4	-3	16.1	14.4	1.63	17.4	14.8	2.65
John Wallace	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	7	-9	13.9	15.4	-1.47	16.7	15.5	1.25
Herb Williams	7	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	18.0	14.8	3.21	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Buck Williams	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	10	-15	16.3	14.6	1.70	16.3	15.6	0.75
Scott Brooks	15	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	10	-15	17.2	14.6	2.58	15.9	15.7	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.5%
MIN 86, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
GSW 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,0.96,1	95.2%