NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	3.3 [1085]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +11.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.2 [951]		LVP	Derrick McKey (IND): -9.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	10	83%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Vincent Askew	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	3	82%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jerome Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	24	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	91%	0.16	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	16	32%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.5	27.3	16.0	25.2	2.5	38.2	133.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.7%

IND -7.1%

CLE +19.3%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	18.4	15.6	107.1	113.8	104.4
season	15.3	17.8		103.6	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.3		100.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.9	14.8	16.2	11.6	15.0
CLE	16.4	17.9	19.7	19.7	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	22	23	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.21	8	-16	24	14.0	15.4	-1.41	19.3	18.1	1.22
Dale Davis	67	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-16	24	14.4	17.4	-3.03	17.5	21.6	-4.12
Jerome Allen	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-12	16	13.8	16.5	-2.76	17.2	20.0	-2.81
Antonio Davis	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-1	-6	15.9	14.0	1.84	20.2	16.5	3.67
Reggie Miller	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-5	2	14.6	16.3	-1.69	18.4	18.6	-0.16
Travis Best	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	16.1	14.0	2.03	19.1	17.8	1.32
Vincent Askew	43	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.0	16.0	-1.98	18.9	17.9	1.01
Erick Dampier	31	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	11	-30	18.0	13.3	4.77	19.3	17.9	1.34
Derrick McKey	64	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	5	-18	15.2	14.3	0.89	17.7	20.7	-3.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-10	28	18.4	18.7	-0.24	15.3	12.6	2.73
Chris Mills	82	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	6	-4	18.6	15.2	3.45	14.6	21.6	-7.01
Bobby Phills	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	17.4	21.5	-4.12	15.7	13.0	2.64
Bob Sura	40	37	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-2	12	19.6	17.4	2.18	15.2	14.9	0.29
Terrell Brandon	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	7	-6	18.8	17.1	1.65	14.3	18.3	-3.97
Mark West	27	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-2	12	17.4	18.9	-1.56	16.2	14.5	1.63
Tyrone Hill	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	10	-12	18.9	17.4	1.56	14.5	16.2	-1.63
Antonio Lang	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	12	-16	17.4	18.6	-1.22	15.8	14.8	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ORL 108, CHA 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 87, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%