NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	3.1 [1189]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +11.4%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.1 [1192]		LVP	Fred Jones (IND): -7.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	16	55%	0.02	5	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	19	69%	0.12	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	2	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	33.5	16.6	26.8	2.0	28.2	133.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +10.3%

SAC +10.2%

SAC +23.1%

SAC +5.2%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.5	94.6	122.8	104.0
season	16.8	14.7		101.9	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	15.7	15.2	17.8	16.0
SAC	15.7	15.6	14.2	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-28	30	18.8	15.4	3.46	17.6	14.7	2.87
Eddie Gill	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-20	14	17.3	15.3	2.08	16.6	14.6	1.98
Marcus Haislip	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-23	20	16.7	15.2	1.48	16.2	14.3	1.88
Anthony Johnson	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-18	10	18.4	14.7	3.69	16.8	14.5	2.31
Britton Johnsen	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-17	8	17.1	15.4	1.75	15.4	15.3	0.12
John Edwards	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-8	-10	15.6	16.7	-1.07	15.0	15.9	-0.95
Austin Croshere	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.23	-19	-7	-12	15.1	17.0	-1.83	14.9	15.8	-0.90
James Jones	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-7	-12	15.2	17.4	-2.29	15.3	15.3	0.08
Jamaal Tinsley	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	-6	-14	15.0	17.8	-2.73	14.4	17.1	-2.70
Fred Jones	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.40	-30	4	-34	15.0	19.0	-4.00	14.1	18.6	-4.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.40	30	-4	34	14.1	18.6	-4.58	15.0	19.0	-4.00
Chris Webber	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.23	24	2	22	14.5	17.1	-2.58	15.0	18.2	-3.13
Mike Bibby	53	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	1	24	14.3	16.7	-2.36	14.2	18.7	-4.57
Doug Christie	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.30	24	2	22	14.6	17.2	-2.58	15.3	18.1	-2.78
Brad Miller	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	5	16	15.4	15.2	0.23	15.0	17.7	-2.71
Bobby Jackson	33	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	17	-8	16.8	14.5	2.27	17.6	15.2	2.38
Darius Songaila	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	20	-14	16.9	14.3	2.55	17.8	14.9	2.85
Matt Barnes	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	30	-34	18.6	14.1	4.58	19.0	15.0	4.00
Greg Ostertag	16	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	21	-16	15.9	15.2	0.77	18.3	15.6	2.70
Maurice Evans	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	17.6	14.7	2.87	18.8	15.4	3.46
Erik Daniels	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	14.9	15.4	-0.44	19.0	15.5	3.49
Kevin Martin	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	14.9	15.4	-0.44	19.0	15.5	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, PHX 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NJN 93, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
GSW 101, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%