NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	71		Excitement	4.1 [953]		MVP	Henry James (ATL): +12.4%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	1.4 [831]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -15.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Herb Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.03	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	19	42%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	11	36%	-0.08	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	13	73%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	65%	0.03	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	-0.03	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	27.3	108.7	22.3	0.5	28.2	213.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.7%

NYK -2.5%

ATL +0.7%

ATL +7.2%

NYK -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	17.1	15.6	79.8	97.8	104.4
season	15.1	16.4		102.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		100.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.1	16.5	14.3	15.2	15.0
ATL	17.2	16.2	20.0	15.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herb Williams	15	16	0.04	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-20	23	13.0	15.4	-2.45	16.6	17.2	-0.62
Walter McCarty	6	7	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.06	-2	-15	13	9.7	15.4	-5.76	14.4	17.4	-2.93
John Wallace	32	35	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-15	13	14.4	15.4	-0.93	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Charlie Ward	31	31	-0.08	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	-10	3	15.2	14.9	0.29	16.2	17.6	-1.43
Buck Williams	23	23	-0.09	-0.40	0.31	0.03	-4	-13	9	14.0	15.4	-1.34	16.3	17.4	-1.17
John Starks	50	50	-0.27	-0.22	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-10	3	15.2	14.8	0.38	16.0	18.5	-2.46
Charles Oakley	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-11	5	15.3	14.4	0.86	17.9	15.2	2.73
Allan Houston	53	53	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	15.5	14.4	1.08	17.8	16.2	1.51
Larry Johnson	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.08	-10	-7	-3	15.3	14.2	1.13	17.8	15.5	2.30
Chris Childs	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-4	-9	14.6	15.6	-0.98	18.2	15.9	2.31
Patrick Ewing	59	58	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	0.09	-24	7	-31	15.9	13.3	2.67	17.2	17.1	0.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	70	70	0.62	-0.13	0.75	-0.08	24	-7	31	17.5	16.0	1.46	15.8	12.2	3.59
Mookie Blaylock	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.03	21	-4	25	17.4	16.1	1.32	15.0	15.1	-0.03
Steven Smith	70	70	0.44	0.05	0.38	-0.03	16	1	15	17.7	15.0	2.74	15.6	12.9	2.65
Christian Laettner	76	74	0.41	0.08	0.32	-0.06	16	1	15	17.5	15.4	2.10	15.5	12.5	3.01
Henry James	73	72	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	4	9	17.7	14.6	3.14	15.5	13.2	2.22
Darrin Hancock	17	17	0.10	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	13	-9	14.6	17.7	-3.14	13.2	15.5	-2.22
Jon Barry	4	4	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	17	-17	11.0	17.4	-6.42	7.2	15.4	-8.15
Priest Lauderdale	5	5	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	17	-17	13.4	17.4	-3.95	8.6	15.4	-6.82
Donnie Boyce	5	5	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	17	-17	13.4	17.4	-3.95	8.6	15.4	-6.82
Eldridge Recasner	28	27	-0.04	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	20	-23	16.5	17.4	-0.92	15.9	14.6	1.28
Ivano Newbill	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	23	-29	16.1	17.6	-1.47	13.0	16.0	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 68, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHX 85, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.94,0.96,1	95.7%
NYK 83, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%