NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	7.7 [286]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +25.5%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.8 [713]		LVP	Steven Smith (ATL): -15.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	77%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	25	54%	0.06	0	0.00	13	92%	0.08
Scottie Pippen	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	14	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Bill Wennington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.03	6	58%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.16	-0.01	18	60%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.02	23	64%	0.28	2	-0.07	12	100%	0.09
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	5	50%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	15	45%	-0.06	2	-0.09	10	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	23.4	16.5	25.2	2.4	43.5	139.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.3%

ATL +26.6%

ATL +9.0%

CHI -11.7%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.3	15.6	115.7	121.3	104.4
season	15.5	16.4		110.5	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		100.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	17.7	15.9	14.0	16.0
ATL	14.7	14.3	22.0	15.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	44	45	0.26	-0.75	1.01	-0.03	10	-15	25	16.3	15.8	0.49	18.9	13.7	5.12
Jud Buechler	27	29	0.22	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-14	23	15.7	16.2	-0.51	14.9	17.0	-2.19
Jason Caffey	11	11	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.01	-1	-4	3	11.6	16.6	-5.00	11.5	17.0	-5.47
Dickey Simpkins	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	12.8	16.4	-3.63	13.8	16.6	-2.85
Robert Parish	40	39	-0.11	-0.38	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	16.8	15.3	1.50	17.4	15.5	1.96
Bill Wennington	31	32	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-7	9	17.5	15.2	2.24	17.4	15.7	1.72
Scottie Pippen	68	67	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.3	0.90	17.9	11.5	6.36
Randy Brown	35	37	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.9	16.8	-1.92	13.1	18.6	-5.48
Dennis Rodman	49	49	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	4	-13	16.8	15.1	1.72	18.2	14.0	4.20
Steve Kerr	55	52	-0.66	0.17	-0.84	-0.40	-9	4	-13	16.0	16.0	-0.01	14.5	19.0	-4.51
Michael Jordan	75	75	-0.74	0.25	-0.99	-0.33	-14	9	-23	15.9	16.8	-0.91	15.6	20.3	-4.69

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	56	58	0.80	-0.31	1.11	0.36	15	-10	25	17.1	15.1	2.03	17.1	14.0	3.10
Mookie Blaylock	77	77	0.64	-0.15	0.80	0.29	12	-7	19	15.9	19.1	-3.17	15.9	16.9	-1.03
Christian Laettner	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-3	11	16.4	16.1	0.25	15.5	18.6	-3.10
Steven Smith	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	17.1	10.0	7.14	15.7	18.3	-2.57
Eldridge Recasner	41	41	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.39	1	4	-3	14.0	18.3	-4.29	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Willie Burton	49	49	-0.02	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	6	-7	16.0	16.7	-0.66	14.8	17.5	-2.64
Henry James	36	36	-0.14	0.63	-0.78	0.06	-7	12	-19	17.1	15.8	1.21	18.1	14.6	3.41
Ivano Newbill	33	32	-0.15	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	11	-17	16.6	16.2	0.38	16.0	16.0	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.59,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.79,0.68,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 114, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.57,0.77,1	92.1%
DET 79, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,1,1	92.0%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	91.6%