NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	3.4 [1081]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +10.0%
Charlotte Hornets	72		Comeback	1.1 [564]		LVP	Dell Curry (CHH): -10.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	18	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	27	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	77%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bill Wennington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	17	62%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	15	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	22.1	14.8	25.2	2.4	23.2	112.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.7%

CHI +1.9%

CHI +14.3%

CHI +13.0%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	18.0	17.3	15.6	113.4	88.9	104.4
season	15.5	15.7		110.5	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.1		106.5	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.5	15.6	21.2	17.3	18.0
CHH	18.4	17.1	18.8	15.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	61	60	0.51	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	4	13	18.8	15.8	2.99	18.0	15.3	2.72
Michael Jordan	59	62	0.48	0.03	0.45	-0.28	26	-5	31	18.1	17.8	0.29	17.7	16.1	1.69
Dennis Rodman	59	60	0.31	0.20	0.11	-0.13	15	6	9	18.6	16.4	2.22	17.1	18.1	-1.01
Toni Kukoc	43	41	0.29	0.22	0.07	-0.24	18	3	15	16.8	19.3	-2.57	15.7	19.0	-3.27
Bill Wennington	31	31	0.23	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	15	-9	20.7	16.3	4.43	18.3	16.7	1.58
Ron Harper	36	36	0.22	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	14	-7	20.7	15.9	4.78	19.1	15.9	3.23
Robert Parish	15	15	0.16	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	17	-13	17.8	18.0	-0.23	18.9	17.0	1.95
Jason Caffey	20	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	16	-11	16.4	18.5	-2.03	17.9	17.2	0.75
Randy Brown	27	25	0.12	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	11	-1	14.9	19.5	-4.56	17.0	17.5	-0.56
Steve Kerr	31	31	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	17	-13	17.4	18.4	-1.02	15.0	18.8	-3.80
Jud Buechler	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	22	-23	15.5	18.4	-2.91	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Dickey Simpkins	16	15	-0.02	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	27	-33	14.7	18.8	-4.02	15.7	17.7	-2.06

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	8	9	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.06	2	-23	25	15.9	17.5	-1.63	15.3	18.3	-2.98
George Zidek	5	5	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.12	4	-25	29	18.4	17.3	1.12	15.6	18.1	-2.54
Malik Rose	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-22	23	16.8	17.4	-0.60	15.5	18.4	-2.91
Scott Burrell	33	33	-0.16	-0.35	0.20	-0.10	-2	-19	17	17.1	17.5	-0.43	16.3	19.1	-2.77
Muggsy Bogues	41	43	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-16	11	17.4	17.3	0.04	19.4	16.4	3.01
Vlade Divac	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-16	11	19.1	16.0	3.06	19.9	16.6	3.24
Matt Geiger	41	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.30	-20	-1	-19	15.7	19.0	-3.27	16.8	19.3	-2.57
Tony Smith	32	30	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-3	-15	17.7	17.1	0.57	16.7	18.7	-1.98
Dell Curry	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-5	-11	17.2	18.0	-0.79	18.5	15.6	2.92
Glen Rice	58	61	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.27	-23	2	-25	17.6	16.8	0.73	18.4	16.8	1.58
Anthony Mason	73	73	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	2	-25	17.5	15.9	1.63	18.3	15.3	2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIA 98, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DET 115, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%