NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	3.0 [1137]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +11.5%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1016]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -14.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	11	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	16	51%	-0.02	5	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.21	-0.01	-0.06	13	23%	-0.10	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	10	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ken Norman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	21%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	24.6	16.3	27.6	2.5	26.8	122.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.5%

ATL +4.1%

PHI -4.3%

ATL +7.5%

PHI -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.9	14.4	15.6	90.0	120.5	104.4
season	14.7	16.4		101.4	105.3
opponent	16.0	14.7		100.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	21.2	17.7	15.7	17.9
ATL	16.9	13.7	15.0	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-16	7	15.8	18.2	-2.38	11.9	14.9	-2.93
Mark Hendrickson	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-16	7	15.8	18.2	-2.38	11.9	14.9	-2.93
Mark Davis	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.53	-21	-4	-17	17.9	17.9	-0.07	12.6	15.3	-2.71
Rex Walters	46	47	-0.15	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-14	3	18.3	17.5	0.83	13.5	15.5	-2.04
Michael Cage	39	39	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-22	19	18.3	17.6	0.67	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Lucious Harris	58	57	-0.26	-0.25	-0.01	0.18	-15	-10	-5	18.1	17.5	0.57	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Scott Williams	39	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-12	-1	18.2	17.7	0.45	15.9	13.4	2.53
Jerry Stackhouse	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.20	-19	-6	-13	18.7	17.2	1.44	15.0	13.9	1.06
Doug Overton	44	41	-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	0.05	-14	-11	-3	17.5	18.3	-0.83	15.5	13.5	2.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	60	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-22	19	17.2	19.3	-2.15	15.3	12.8	2.54
Derrick Coleman	71	67	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-17	9	18.3	16.6	1.67	15.3	11.7	3.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	58	62	0.53	-0.02	0.55	0.12	14	11	3	15.0	13.3	1.65	18.3	17.0	1.31
Mookie Blaylock	60	63	0.49	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	2	21	14.8	13.6	1.14	19.0	15.4	3.61
Tyrone Corbin	60	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	1	23	15.0	13.1	1.93	18.1	17.5	0.62
Steven Smith	53	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.05	17	8	9	15.3	13.1	2.26	18.1	17.5	0.64
Christian Laettner	61	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	3	19	15.0	13.1	1.84	18.1	17.5	0.58
Jon Barry	29	27	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.24	10	15	-5	12.6	15.3	-2.74	15.9	18.8	-2.93
Ivano Newbill	30	27	0.05	0.46	-0.41	-0.22	9	16	-7	13.4	14.9	-1.50	19.6	17.2	2.37
Willie Burton	28	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	24	-23	13.1	15.0	-1.93	17.5	18.1	-0.62
Eldridge Recasner	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	25	-25	13.9	14.7	-0.78	17.1	18.4	-1.26
Ken Norman	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	13.0	14.9	-1.80	15.1	18.7	-3.54
Priest Lauderdale	6	6	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	22	-19	13.0	14.5	-1.52	13.7	18.2	-4.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NJN 87, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%