NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	6.3 [522]		MVP	Kevin Duckworth (LAC): +11.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	1.0 [997]		LVP	Brent Barry (LAC): -16.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	69%	0.14	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Monty Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Carl Herrera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	11	73%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Vinny Del Negro	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sean Elliott	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	11	32%	-0.06	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	16	47%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	10	80%	0.19	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	8	41%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.9	1.6	29.2	14.7	28.4	1.6	30.1	142.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +52.1%

SAS -16.3%

LAC +15.5%

SAS -2.4%

LAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.6	104.4	110.2	104.4
season	16.8	15.8		100.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.2	17.3	17.7	17.3	15.9
LAC	16.8	15.5	16.6	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.12	3	-6	9	17.8	15.5	2.30	14.6	16.9	-2.30
Vinny Del Negro	52	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-10	17	16.9	14.6	2.28	17.2	15.2	2.02
Carl Herrera	17	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	13.5	16.5	-2.95	19.4	15.8	3.56
Will Perdue	41	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-7	11	16.0	15.8	0.19	17.8	15.2	2.57
Cory Alexander	20	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	13.6	16.6	-2.92	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Greg Anderson	18	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	6	-15	16.6	15.8	0.79	13.8	17.1	-3.25
David Robinson	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-2	1	15.4	16.6	-1.17	16.7	16.1	0.63
Dominique Wilkins	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	3	-9	16.6	14.9	1.70	15.5	17.7	-2.17
Sean Elliott	68	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	3	-9	15.7	16.5	-0.70	15.8	18.4	-2.56
Avery Johnson	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-2	1	16.6	13.6	2.92	16.4	16.4	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	46	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	1	-5	14.7	17.2	-2.42	16.6	16.3	0.32

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loy Vaught	73	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	16.7	15.3	1.42	16.2	14.3	1.91
Bo Outlaw	48	45	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	15.0	18.2	-3.27	17.5	14.4	3.09
Terry Dehere	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	3	-3	15.7	17.2	-1.46	17.7	14.3	3.31
Malik Sealy	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	1	1	16.1	17.2	-1.11	15.1	17.8	-2.71
Kevin Duckworth	45	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	2	-1	17.6	15.3	2.28	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Rodney Rogers	55	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	8	-13	16.8	15.8	1.05	14.6	18.2	-3.66
Brent Barry	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	2	-1	17.2	16.1	1.11	17.8	15.1	2.71
Darrick Martin	45	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-2	7	17.2	15.7	1.46	14.2	17.9	-3.67
Lamond Murray	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	1	1	15.5	16.9	-1.39	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Lorenzen Wright	17	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	9	-15	16.9	16.3	0.54	16.2	15.8	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.83,1	93.5%
IND 117, NJN 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
DEN 94, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.1%