inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement6.6 [505] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +34.9%
Atlanta Hawks 99 Comeback1.0 [385] LVPRonald Murray (DET): -17.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.100.09-0.011173%0.221-0.0300%0.00
Dale Davis0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01586%0.122-0.064100%0.02
Jason Maxiell0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Blalock0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,-0.060.09-0.140.012359%0.143-0.20887%0.03
Rasheed Wallace-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.050.011745%-0.041-0.03475%0.01
Carlos Delfino-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00719%-0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Ronald Murray-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17-0.08-0.090.001231%-0.141-0.03560%-0.08

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.260.100.021783%0.391-0.04757%-0.01
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.160.160.100.060.001167%0.181-0.02580%-0.02
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.03-0.03575%0.103-0.076100%0.03
Royal Ivey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.021136%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.080.001146%0.013-0.15450%-0.02
Josh Smith0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.01642%-0.025-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.428.515.724.52.037.2139.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +41.4%
DET -2.9%
ATL +7.3%
DET -3.2%
ATL +7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game16.117.815.4110.7115.1104.5
season16.816.1106.1101.1
opponent15.315.7106.1101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.915.517.412.716.1
ATL14.018.118.620.617.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nazr Mohammed1212-0.09-0.410.310.05-5-1-419.115.63.5014.718.3-3.52
Dale Davis5759-0.12-0.380.25-0.244-101415.517.3-1.8417.518.4-0.86
Will Blalock1011-0.19-0.310.110.10-104-1419.315.63.6512.418.6-6.21
Jason Maxiell910-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-2-217.815.91.9017.717.8-0.09
Ronald Murray5859-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-81016.116.2-0.1017.817.70.16
Rasheed Wallace7072-0.23-0.270.05-0.375-111615.718.1-2.4717.817.60.25
Antonio McDyess1414-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-115-1618.115.72.4717.617.8-0.25
Tayshaun Prince7880-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.422-81015.721.2-5.4718.113.54.60
Carlos Delfino3736-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.15-82-1015.416.6-1.2120.116.14.06
Richard Hamilton7577-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.30-5-1-416.215.20.9617.817.9-0.12

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Childress67660.56-0.060.630.367-1818.415.52.8915.518.3-2.79
Marvin Williams54510.51-0.010.520.288-21018.416.71.6416.815.01.73
Joe Johnson65620.370.130.250.2642218.116.71.4716.016.2-0.20
Salim Stoudamire43430.360.140.210.2442217.318.3-0.9515.316.9-1.60
Josh Smith58570.320.180.140.1751417.019.4-2.3915.517.4-1.95
Solomon Jones32320.200.30-0.100.0360617.018.3-1.2916.715.70.98
Shelden Williams54550.170.33-0.160.29-410-1418.816.12.6815.916.5-0.61
Lorenzen Wright37360.070.43-0.370.0415-417.617.9-0.3216.915.51.46
Royal Ivey2018-0.060.56-0.62-0.03-17-815.018.6-3.5618.315.52.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 97, POR 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.84,193.6%
SAS 94, LAC 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,193.5%
PHX 98, GSW 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.99,1,1,193.4%