NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	8.8 [143]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +8.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	1.7 [686]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -15.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.09	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.03	12	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.11,-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	14	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	12	75%	-0.06
Jim McIlvaine	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	-0.01	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.13	6	-0.24	7	86%	0.02
Craig Ehlo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	19	49%	-0.05	2	-0.11	11	55%	-0.10

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.04	0.00	9	89%	0.26	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	13	58%	0.18	3	-0.12	5	80%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.21,-0.05,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	25	53%	0.07	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.06
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	63%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	24.3	13.8	27.6	2.0	38.0	136.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.1%

LAL +1.5%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.6	116.5	118.3	104.4
season	14.9	15.3		108.9	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.2		101.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.9	15.6	12.8	14.5	14.7
LAL	15.4	16.3	18.5	16.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	40	41	0.17	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-11	18	15.1	14.3	0.84	19.0	14.7	4.24
Shawn Kemp	57	57	0.04	-0.55	0.59	0.07	-1	-3	2	14.1	15.6	-1.49	17.9	14.5	3.43
Eric Snow	9	9	-0.13	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	1	-6	16.4	14.5	1.96	13.6	16.9	-3.37
Larry Stewart	16	18	-0.21	-0.30	0.08	-0.03	-6	2	-8	17.2	14.1	3.04	13.7	17.3	-3.57
Gary Payton	83	86	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.44	1	-5	6	14.5	16.2	-1.72	16.7	15.3	1.42
Detlef Schrempf	81	81	-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	0	-4	14.5	15.9	-1.37	16.8	15.3	1.46
Craig Ehlo	44	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	3	-10	13.5	15.8	-2.24	15.8	17.4	-1.54
Sam Perkins	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	-1	-2	14.8	14.4	0.39	15.4	19.7	-4.24
Hersey Hawkins	60	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-2	0	15.2	13.7	1.42	16.3	17.3	-1.03

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	64	63	0.84	-0.33	1.17	0.25	20	-16	36	16.7	16.4	0.32	14.3	15.5	-1.13
Shaquille O'Neal	86	82	0.61	-0.10	0.71	0.35	9	-5	14	16.8	14.7	2.04	15.2	9.6	5.69
Eddie Jones	84	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.38	4	0	4	16.6	16.6	0.05	15.1	11.5	3.57
Byron Scott	40	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.56	-6	10	-16	15.3	17.5	-2.20	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Nick Van Exel	73	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	8	-12	16.9	15.4	1.53	14.1	16.6	-2.46
Derek Fisher	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-4	12	15.4	16.9	-1.53	16.6	14.1	2.46
Elden Campbell	65	65	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	3	-2	17.1	15.5	1.53	15.1	13.7	1.33
Rumeal Robinson	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	15.1	16.7	-1.62	15.4	14.6	0.76
Travis Knight	25	26	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	11	-18	17.1	16.4	0.65	12.3	15.6	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	92.0%
MIN 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	91.2%
MIA 94, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.34,0.57,0.85,1	91.1%