NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	8.9 [140]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +36.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	14.6 [92]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -41.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	5	94%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	11	73%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Duckworth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Loy Vaught	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	7	75%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Darrick Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	4	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Malik Sealy	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	10	52%	-0.06	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	7	43%	-0.14	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.37	0.37	0.12	0.26	0.01	10	86%	0.43	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.03
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	7	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.14	0.01	10	54%	-0.06	5	-0.19	8	75%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.42	-0.42	-0.19	-0.23	-0.00	16	40%	-0.27	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	1.7	23.7	15.0	27.1	1.7	46.3	145.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.0%

LAC -2.0%

MIN +27.7%

LAC -21.4%

LAC -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.6	106.7	108.9	104.4
season	15.8	15.5		102.9	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	18.0	16.0	17.6	17.1
MIN	16.0	15.4	15.3	13.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	24	23	0.17	-0.66	0.83	-0.15	11	-13	24	17.2	17.1	0.11	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Lorenzen Wright	5	5	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.01	5	-7	12	11.4	17.4	-6.02	15.4	14.9	0.52
Lamond Murray	36	36	0.11	-0.60	0.70	-0.04	5	-7	12	17.7	16.6	1.10	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Bo Outlaw	31	30	0.05	-0.54	0.59	0.25	-7	5	-12	18.0	16.6	1.44	14.6	15.1	-0.47
Pooh Richardson	40	41	0.05	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	16.8	17.3	-0.52	15.7	14.3	1.42
Kevin Duckworth	33	33	-0.09	-0.40	0.31	-0.00	-3	1	-4	17.5	16.8	0.72	16.5	14.0	2.44
Malik Sealy	62	62	-0.13	-0.36	0.24	0.11	-8	6	-14	17.3	16.6	0.70	15.3	14.0	1.37
Rodney Rogers	51	52	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-8	14	16.6	17.7	-1.06	16.1	13.3	2.85
Stanley Roberts	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	4	-10	17.7	16.3	1.47	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Darrick Martin	18	18	-0.53	0.04	-0.57	-0.62	3	-5	8	14.8	17.7	-2.82	13.6	15.2	-1.63
Terry Dehere	38	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	7	-16	17.6	16.7	0.80	13.7	15.8	-2.03
Loy Vaught	62	62	-0.79	0.30	-1.09	-0.56	-8	6	-14	16.6	18.1	-1.53	14.7	15.4	-0.75

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	80	79	0.65	-0.16	0.81	0.54	4	-2	6	14.4	18.8	-4.37	17.5	13.8	3.73
Doug West	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.57	1	1	0	14.8	15.1	-0.29	18.5	15.2	3.34
Tom Gugliotta	76	76	0.49	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-3	8	15.3	12.8	2.52	16.8	18.7	-1.92
Sam Mitchell	39	40	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	3	-4	13.3	16.2	-2.87	15.8	18.1	-2.28
Stephon Marbury	71	72	0.40	0.09	0.31	0.40	0	2	-2	15.3	13.5	1.82	16.7	18.7	-2.04
Dean Garrett	23	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-4	10	14.1	15.2	-1.05	16.5	17.3	-0.78
Terry Porter	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	-5	12	14.2	15.5	-1.30	16.1	18.0	-1.86
Cherokee Parks	22	22	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	17.1	14.2	2.89	17.4	17.0	0.36
Chris Carr	14	13	-0.13	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.8	0.70	16.9	17.1	-0.19
Stojko Vrankovic	30	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.12	-3	5	-8	16.3	14.2	2.13	18.5	16.3	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.29,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.47,0.58,1	90.1%
IND 96, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.58,1	89.6%
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	89.5%