NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	4.0 [975]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +8.6%
Denver Nuggets	92		Comeback	1.1 [551]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -15.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	23	58%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jason Caffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	61%	-0.03	1	0.00	14	50%	-0.05
Scottie Pippen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	8	46%	-0.07	4	-0.04	10	60%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaSalle Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	12	92%	0.03
Sarunas Marciulionis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	13	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	18	32%	-0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	19	35%	-0.12	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	69.9	2.5	26.8	15.8	32.4	1.3	26.2	174.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.9%

CHI +3.6%

CHI +3.7%

CHI +0.3%

CHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.6	110.0	90.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.2		110.5	102.3
opponent	15.3	16.1		108.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.2	16.2	14.8	13.3	14.3
DEN	13.9	15.1	14.0	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	69	70	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.20	29	-11	40	13.8	15.4	-1.56	15.3	11.8	3.49
Dennis Rodman	58	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	3	12	14.5	14.1	0.41	14.4	14.0	0.38
Scottie Pippen	75	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	2	14	14.0	15.2	-1.13	14.7	12.7	2.02
Ron Harper	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.12	16	2	14	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.7	13.8	0.82
Luc Longley	28	28	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	5	8	13.2	14.7	-1.52	16.5	13.4	3.11
Bill Wennington	39	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	13	-8	14.4	14.3	0.12	14.6	13.9	0.68
Steve Kerr	47	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	18	-18	14.8	13.9	0.90	13.0	15.3	-2.29
Jason Caffey	32	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	19	-20	14.6	14.2	0.37	12.0	15.3	-3.26
Toni Kukoc	55	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	12	-6	14.8	13.8	1.01	13.9	14.6	-0.78
Jud Buechler	28	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	20	-22	15.0	14.0	0.96	13.0	14.7	-1.73
Randy Brown	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	25	-32	15.4	14.0	1.40	12.7	14.7	-2.01

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brooks Thompson	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	11.7	14.5	-2.78	14.3	14.3	0.03
Jeff McInnis	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-19	20	17.2	13.8	3.34	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Darvin Ham	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-17	16	14.1	14.2	-0.13	16.3	13.8	2.50
Sarunas Marciulionis	58	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-17	16	13.2	15.6	-2.44	14.7	13.8	0.92
Eric Murdock	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-19	20	12.0	15.1	-3.13	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Antonio McDyess	62	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-9	0	15.0	13.0	1.90	14.1	14.7	-0.56
LaSalle Thompson	8	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-11	4	14.2	14.2	0.05	12.9	14.4	-1.56
Bryant Stith	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-12	6	14.5	13.5	0.99	14.5	13.8	0.63
Ervin Johnson	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-5	-8	16.1	13.4	2.71	14.9	14.0	0.88
Mark Jackson	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	0	-18	14.6	13.6	1.00	14.5	14.1	0.42
Tom Hammonds	59	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-7	-4	13.0	15.8	-2.78	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Dale Ellis	85	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.25	-29	11	-40	14.7	11.6	3.14	14.1	15.3	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAS 106, BKN 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIA 110, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.3%