NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	89		Excitement	6.6 [483]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +20.0%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	2.1 [639]		LVP	Tony Smith (CHH): -27.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	60%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Dell Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.05	0.03	7	75%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.02	16	57%	0.13	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	11	23%	-0.16	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.12	-0.02	7	69%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	8	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	13	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	7	19%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	25.2	16.4	23.6	2.6	32.2	124.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.1%

CHH -4.0%

ORL +21.9%

ORL +7.3%

ORL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ORL	NBA	CHH	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.6	15.6	106.0	111.6	104.4
season	15.7	16.4		108.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.1	17.8	15.9	18.6	17.0
ORL	14.4	17.3	17.5	17.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	18.6	16.8	1.83	15.9	16.7	-0.84
George Zidek	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.2	17.0	0.17	10.8	17.4	-6.61
Vlade Divac	55	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-8	9	17.9	15.4	2.55	17.7	14.6	3.13
Anthony Goldwire	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-8	9	15.1	18.9	-3.81	17.0	16.4	0.60
Dell Curry	63	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-6	5	17.3	16.1	1.21	17.6	13.6	4.06
Tony Smith	43	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	1	-9	18.9	15.1	3.81	16.4	17.0	-0.60
Glen Rice	68	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-5	3	16.6	18.9	-2.33	16.4	17.5	-1.06
Matt Geiger	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	5	-17	16.3	18.2	-1.92	15.8	17.9	-2.01
Anthony Mason	78	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	16.8	20.0	-3.18	16.6	17.6	-1.02

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	40	40	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-3	13	16.4	16.8	-0.45	17.2	16.9	0.24
Derek Strong	29	28	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-8	23	17.7	16.1	1.53	19.8	15.7	4.16
Rony Seikaly	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-9	25	16.1	17.6	-1.52	18.6	14.4	4.22
Gerald Wilkins	36	36	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-9	25	16.5	16.7	-0.24	19.4	15.2	4.19
Anfernee Hardaway	74	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	2	3	16.8	15.8	0.94	17.0	17.1	-0.03
Horace Grant	67	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	13	-19	16.5	17.1	-0.53	15.5	21.9	-6.43
Nick Anderson	67	65	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	10	-13	16.0	18.8	-2.83	15.6	21.9	-6.33
Brian Shaw	40	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	17.3	16.0	1.33	17.1	17.0	0.05
David Vaughn	24	24	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	21	-35	17.8	16.2	1.60	14.5	18.1	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.9%
MIN 108, SAS 112	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.92,1	91.4%
SAC 112, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	91.4%