NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	100		Excitement	10.9 [37]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +29.0%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	10.2 [137]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -38.3%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	84%	0.15	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09	-0.12	0.21	0.00	12	49%	0.20	4	-0.11	11	64%	-0.05
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.10	5	-0.16	9	56%	-0.05
Tracy Murray	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	8	39%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	0.00	13	37%	-0.14	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.38	-0.10	-0.29	-0.00	16	39%	-0.31	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	12	77%	0.33	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	11	67%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.00	10	61%	0.12	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	17	40%	-0.16	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Derrick McKey	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	12	35%	-0.26	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	28.0	15.5	27.8	2.0	36.1	2.5	18.5	160.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.1%

IND +35.1%

IND +18.0%

IND +2.5%

WAS -23.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.6	92.6	100.0	104.4
season	14.8	15.3		104.3	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.8		101.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.0	15.5	14.8	15.8	17.6	15.5
IND	13.8	12.7	16.5	14.9	17.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	53	52	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-13	23	15.1	15.9	-0.87	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Ashraf Amaya	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	0.0	15.5	-15.50	31.0	14.5	16.54
Ben Wallace	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	1	-5	16.0	15.3	0.62	15.6	14.3	1.37
Chris Whitney	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	2	-7	18.2	14.9	3.31	16.9	14.0	2.81
Jaren Jackson	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	6	-15	15.6	15.5	0.12	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Calbert Cheaney	73	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-7	11	15.3	15.8	-0.49	14.9	14.1	0.80
Juwan Howard	90	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	15.6	14.9	0.73	14.5	15.3	-0.85
Rod Strickland	88	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-5	7	14.9	18.2	-3.31	14.0	16.9	-2.81
Chris Webber	98	93	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	0	-3	15.3	17.0	-1.65	14.5	16.2	-1.75
Tracy Murray	55	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	10	-23	15.9	15.1	0.87	15.6	13.7	1.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	43	46	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-9	21	16.2	13.5	2.69	15.9	15.2	0.68
Derrick McKey	73	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-2	7	14.4	15.2	-0.86	16.1	13.9	2.19
Reggie Miller	83	89	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-2	7	13.8	17.9	-4.13	15.1	17.3	-2.20
Antonio Davis	69	75	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-1	5	15.4	12.9	2.51	16.0	14.4	1.59
Dale Davis	71	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-1	5	14.8	14.2	0.67	15.7	15.1	0.56
Jerome Allen	17	18	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-1	5	9.5	15.6	-6.10	13.7	15.9	-2.20
Jalen Rose	9	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	1	1	8.3	15.2	-6.89	13.4	15.7	-2.38
Fred Hoiberg	22	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	1	1	16.5	14.1	2.45	16.0	15.4	0.62
Vincent Askew	51	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	5	-7	14.8	14.4	0.36	14.2	16.5	-2.30
Erick Dampier	34	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.08	-8	11	-19	15.1	14.4	0.78	15.9	15.3	0.56
Haywoode Workman	43	44	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.02	-13	16	-29	15.1	14.3	0.77	15.8	15.3	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.09,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,1	89.0%
SAS 100, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	88.7%
POR 113, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.78,0.98,1	88.5%