NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	8.9 [131]		MVP	Terry Dehere (LAC): +5.7%
Denver Nuggets	78		Comeback	8.0 [96]		LVP	Ricky Pierce (DEN): -27.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.06	-0.06	0.11	-0.00	6	31%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Stanley Roberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.07	-0.00	12	70%	0.11	1	-0.10	6	83%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.01	10	60%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.07
Pooh Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Duckworth	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	16	31%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.15,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	21	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Marciulionis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaSalle Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.08	-0.04	8	62%	0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.05	0.02	6	53%	-0.04	6	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.20	-0.03	12	57%	-0.03	4	-0.21	6	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.18	0.01	5	17%	-0.26	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.28	-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	-0.00	5	40%	-0.07	1	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	25.9	14.8	22.1	2.4	35.2	128.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +17.7%

LAC +3.3%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +22.1%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	17.5	14.3	15.6	91.1	85.7	104.4
season	15.8	15.2		102.9	102.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	19.3	17.0	17.3	17.5
DEN	14.2	14.1	14.3	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	36	35	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.40	18	-14	32	18.3	16.9	1.39	15.0	13.9	1.07
Bo Outlaw	38	37	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-10	24	18.6	16.7	1.87	14.8	14.0	0.75
Rodney Rogers	44	46	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	1	2	16.1	18.9	-2.80	15.0	13.6	1.42
Stanley Roberts	52	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-14	32	18.2	16.6	1.55	15.0	13.4	1.67
Pooh Richardson	69	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	2	0	16.7	20.3	-3.63	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Loy Vaught	54	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.47	-7	11	-18	16.2	19.5	-3.33	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Darrick Martin	21	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	2	0	20.3	16.7	3.63	14.8	14.2	0.57
Lorenzen Wright	5	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	8	-12	25.4	17.0	8.36	11.0	14.5	-3.49
Eric Piatkowski	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	7	-10	16.0	17.6	-1.57	9.2	14.6	-5.32
Lamond Murray	46	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	3	-2	18.9	16.1	2.80	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Kevin Duckworth	31	31	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	17	-30	16.1	18.2	-2.09	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Malik Sealy	50	52	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	15	-26	17.0	18.1	-1.08	14.3	14.4	-0.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Hammonds	23	27	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-10	16	13.0	14.8	-1.74	20.9	16.0	4.89
LaSalle Thompson	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-10	16	13.5	14.6	-1.05	20.0	16.7	3.37
LaPhonso Ellis	5	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	20.4	14.0	6.41	14.5	17.6	-3.14
Darvin Ham	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	3	-10	17.2	14.2	3.03	19.6	17.4	2.22
Sarunas Marciulionis	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	5	-14	16.3	13.6	2.70	20.3	16.3	4.00
Eric Murdock	14	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	6	-16	15.1	14.2	0.86	19.7	17.0	2.66
Dale Ellis	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.58	11	-15	26	13.3	17.0	-3.72	17.2	18.4	-1.19
Ervin Johnson	61	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	4	-12	15.1	12.7	2.45	16.8	18.9	-2.09
Mark Jackson	77	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.50	6	-10	16	14.2	15.1	-0.86	17.0	19.7	-2.66
Ricky Pierce	30	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	6	-16	13.8	14.6	-0.81	17.6	17.5	0.13
Bryant Stith	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-3	2	14.2	14.6	-0.42	16.2	19.8	-3.59
Antonio McDyess	69	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-2	0	14.3	14.5	-0.15	16.2	20.9	-4.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 83, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.72,0.53,0.21,0.31,0.42,0	92.0%
CHI 101, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	90.9%
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	90.7%