NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	7.0 [410]		MVP	Antoine Carr (UTA): +13.4%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.3 [822]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -18.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	15	67%	0.21	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	16	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Larry Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate McMillan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	15	59%	-0.01	5	-0.17	14	79%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.02	11	58%	0.13	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	14	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	20	56%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.06
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	29.5	14.7	26.3	1.8	28.2	125.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.9%

UTA +1.8%

SEA -8.0%

UTA +8.5%

SEA -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.4	15.6	104.6	111.2	104.4
season	14.9	15.6		108.9	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.2		102.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.1	16.8	14.2	14.5	15.3
UTA	16.6	19.0	17.1	16.8	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Stewart	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	26.0	15.2	10.79	1.0	17.6	-16.56
Shawn Kemp	64	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-9	10	14.5	17.8	-3.33	17.9	16.0	1.82
Hersey Hawkins	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-8	8	14.3	17.7	-3.44	16.5	19.2	-2.69
Detlef Schrempf	73	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.6	13.7	1.93	17.2	18.4	-1.24
Nate McMillan	27	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	2	-12	17.0	14.6	2.36	18.4	16.8	1.55
Craig Ehlo	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	15.5	15.2	0.36	18.1	16.8	1.28
Gary Payton	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	14.7	19.1	-4.40	17.0	19.5	-2.54
Jim McIlvaine	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	2	-12	17.1	13.7	3.43	17.3	17.5	-0.21
Sam Perkins	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	2	-12	15.5	15.0	0.50	17.8	16.5	1.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-2	12	16.6	20.9	-4.28	15.6	14.1	1.42
John Stockton	72	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-2	12	17.4	17.1	0.39	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Bryon Russell	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-4	16	16.5	20.0	-3.43	14.7	17.2	-2.53
Antoine Carr	57	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	17.6	16.9	0.73	15.7	14.7	0.92
Jeff Hornacek	71	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	16.4	21.1	-4.62	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Greg Ostertag	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	9	-10	16.9	17.6	-0.73	14.7	15.7	-0.92
Shandon Anderson	4	4	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	5	-2	26.0	17.0	9.04	15.7	15.3	0.44
Chris Morris	14	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	8	-8	19.6	16.9	2.70	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Howard Eisley	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	7	-6	16.9	17.5	-0.52	15.4	15.3	0.03
Adam Keefe	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	12	-16	20.0	16.5	3.43	17.2	14.7	2.53
Brooks Thompson	3	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	11	-14	17.7	17.4	0.31	23.0	15.2	7.85
Greg Foster	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	10	-12	20.9	16.6	4.28	14.1	15.6	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.57,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.1%
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.1%
CLE 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.5%