inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 116 Excitement2.9 [617] MVPLuka Don?i? (LAL): +13.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 141 Comeback1.5 [399] LVPJalen Johnson (ATL): -7.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.120,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.23-0.000.101679%0.1200.001100%0.00
Dyson Daniels0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.041168%0.092-0.04667%-0.02
CJ McCollum0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.002351%0.032-0.00333%-0.01
Keaton Wallace0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Asa Newell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02450%-0.0100.002100%-0.00
Vít Krej?í-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.011146%-0.021-0.002100%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02839%-0.021-0.01250%0.00
Jalen Johnson-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.021736%-0.0800.002100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Don?i?0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.04-0.00-0.101664%0.197-0.051080%0.01
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.160.010.065100%0.1100.006100%0.03
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.00-0.02677%0.1000.001100%0.00
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.000.001077%0.122-0.022100%0.01
Deandre Ayton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.150.000.10981%0.0500.003100%0.00
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.11-0.000.092067%0.064-0.04683%0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01250%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Nick Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bronny James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Timme0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kobe Bufkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dalton Knecht0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.10.031.40.030.20.025.50.0
league avg26.32.028.914.429.62.332.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +32.3%
LAL +13.6%
LAL +11.4%
ATL -8.5%
LAL +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLLALNBAATLLALNBA
this game13.814.414.2113.7138.2113.4
season13.214.5113.0115.4
opponent14.014.4115.3113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.015.212.514.513.8
LAL13.613.016.314.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keaton Wallace2425-0.03-0.470.440.23-9-16714.513.60.9214.914.30.61
Mouhamed Gueye6869-0.20-0.300.110.13-11-14313.215.1-1.9015.013.11.92
Asa Newell3938-0.22-0.280.060.31-18-7-1114.713.21.4514.214.5-0.34
Vít Krej?í6868-0.24-0.260.010.46-24-1-2314.113.10.9714.813.61.21
Dyson Daniels7878-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-5-1514.112.91.1514.613.70.93
Jalen Johnson8081-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-5-1514.013.01.0714.414.40.05
Corey Kispert9190-0.38-0.12-0.270.20-20-5-1513.615.5-1.9614.613.01.61
CJ McCollum9494-0.500.00-0.500.23-250-2513.714.5-0.7714.513.60.86
Nickeil Alexander-Walker9494-0.500.00-0.500.23-250-2513.714.5-0.7714.513.60.86
Onyeka Okongwu9494-0.500.00-0.500.23-250-2513.714.5-0.7714.513.60.86

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James94950.500.000.50-0.232502514.513.60.8613.714.4-0.68
Jake LaRavia81820.480.020.45-0.172231914.912.42.5113.315.7-2.37
Rui Hachimura81820.460.040.42-0.242412314.514.20.2914.112.51.61
Jarred Vanderbilt83830.430.070.370.111114-314.812.91.8113.614.7-1.16
Gabe Vincent68700.420.080.35-0.021510514.314.6-0.3413.614.2-0.62
Luka Don?i?81800.330.170.16-0.262051514.414.40.0514.013.01.07
Marcus Smart64650.310.190.13-0.4526-12714.714.00.6714.213.01.25
Deandre Ayton78780.310.190.11-0.282051514.613.70.9314.112.91.15
Dalton Knecht84850.150.35-0.20-0.11916-714.912.22.6713.117.1-3.92
Nick Smith Jr.25240.030.47-0.44-0.23916-714.914.30.6114.513.60.92
Bronny James25240.030.47-0.44-0.23916-714.914.30.6114.513.60.92
Drew Timme25240.030.47-0.44-0.23916-714.914.30.6114.513.60.92
Kobe Bufkin25240.030.47-0.44-0.23916-714.914.30.6114.513.60.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 98, BOS 1310.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
ORL 99, PHI 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,196.3%
PHI 87, PHX 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%