NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	6.2 [581]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (ORL): +11.7%
Orlando Magic	119		Comeback	1.4 [927]		LVP	Terance Mann (ATL): -17.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	-0.02	0.06	17	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Caris LeVert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.05	0.05	20	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	8	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	64%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	20	50%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	24	57%	0.09	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	71%	0.11	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	1.8	29.6	14.7	29.3	0.8	35.2	141.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.3%

ATL -0.7%

ORL +5.3%

ORL +16.7%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.7	14.4	114.3	120.2	113.1
season	13.2	15.4		113.0	108.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.1	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.4	11.8	15.5	14.0	13.5
ORL	13.8	14.5	18.0	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-7	7	10.2	13.7	-3.41	11.7	15.9	-4.12
Zaccharie Risacher	30	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-8	9	15.3	12.7	2.52	17.8	14.9	2.90
Mouhamed Gueye	36	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-6	5	13.9	13.3	0.67	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Vit Krejci	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	15.2	12.8	2.35	16.5	15.4	1.15
Terance Mann	61	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-9	11	13.0	14.3	-1.25	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Georges Niang	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-4	1	13.7	13.4	0.26	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Onyeka Okongwu	81	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	13.6	13.1	0.56	16.5	12.4	4.14
Trae Young	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	13.2	14.8	-1.61	15.8	15.3	0.47
Dyson Daniels	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	13.2	14.2	-0.98	16.2	14.5	1.73
Caris LeVert	63	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	4	-15	12.9	14.7	-1.77	14.4	18.2	-3.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	66	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-8	23	16.1	14.8	1.37	13.1	14.3	-1.18
Wendell Carter Jr.	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-5	17	16.0	14.7	1.37	13.6	13.3	0.32
Cory Joseph	53	52	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-6	19	16.4	14.9	1.52	12.7	14.4	-1.64
Paolo Banchero	76	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-4	15	16.0	14.7	1.37	13.6	13.0	0.60
Franz Wagner	81	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	6	-5	16.0	14.6	1.34	13.3	14.5	-1.22
Caleb Houstan	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	8	-9	14.7	16.2	-1.49	15.0	12.7	2.31
Gary Harris	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	14.2	16.0	-1.81	12.4	13.8	-1.36
Anthony Black	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	13	-19	14.7	16.5	-1.79	14.4	12.8	1.53
Jonathan Isaac	23	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	12	-17	14.7	16.0	-1.37	13.3	13.6	-0.32
Cole Anthony	21	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	14	-21	15.4	15.8	-0.41	13.8	13.5	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 106, BKN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
NOP 84, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.2%
TOR 96, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	95.0%