inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 106 Excitement5.7 [351] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +36.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 122 Comeback1.1 [585] LVPJosh Giddey (CHI): -11.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Torrey Craig0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.030.011075%0.1400.0000%0.00
Dalen Terry0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.030.005100%0.1400.0000%0.00
Julian Phillips0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.00475%0.1200.0000%0.00
Zach LaVine0.060,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.14-0.040.051577%0.134-0.075100%0.02
Jalen Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.03-0.03550%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Coby White0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.04-0.041547%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Matas Buzelis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02150%0.0200.002100%0.01
Nikola Vucevic0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.011547%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jevon Carter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Duarte0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
E.J. Liddell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ayo Dosunmu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01757%0.073-0.0900%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01928%-0.072-0.0400%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.250.11-0.002466%0.391-0.031450%-0.07
AJ Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.170.08-0.03990%0.2900.00250%-0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.030.051281%0.1500.00250%-0.00
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.03-0.01679%0.1300.002100%0.02
Damian Lillard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.06-0.041753%0.184-0.104100%0.02
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00075%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Liam Robbins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stanley Umude00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
MarJon Beauchamp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00653%0.043-0.073100%0.02
Taurean Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0320%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.53.429.415.629.23.332.4137.9
league avg25.72.328.114.928.42.332.2134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +23.7%
MIL +17.3%
MIL +3.5%
MIL +3.1%
MIL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMILNBACHIMILNBA
this game14.615.414.4110.4127.1112.2
season13.214.4111.7113.2
opponent14.314.4110.0115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.914.814.814.714.6
MIL14.914.015.917.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jevon Carter230.00-0.500.500.000-161610.514.6-4.1418.715.33.32
Chris Duarte230.00-0.500.500.000-161610.514.6-4.1418.715.33.32
E.J. Liddell230.00-0.500.500.000-161610.514.6-4.1418.715.33.32
Talen Horton-Tucker230.00-0.500.500.000-161610.514.6-4.1418.715.33.32
Coby White6866-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-161613.616.7-3.1015.415.6-0.27
Matas Buzelis1011-0.08-0.420.350.01-3-131014.414.6-0.1715.415.5-0.10
Dalen Terry3331-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-11615.714.01.7015.515.40.10
Nikola Vucevic6970-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-12815.612.03.6015.415.7-0.34
Julian Phillips3028-0.17-0.330.170.16-11-5-613.814.9-1.1416.515.01.49
Torrey Craig5657-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.20-2-141215.013.91.0814.916.2-1.23
Zach LaVine6566-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-6-415.113.41.7215.315.8-0.56
Jalen Smith2523-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-4-812.115.4-3.3415.315.5-0.19
Josh Giddey5152-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-15-1-1415.114.01.1214.416.7-2.36
Ayo Dosunmu6564-0.540.04-0.58-0.01-182-2014.315.0-0.6616.114.11.98

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
AJ Green53550.58-0.080.66-0.0722-62816.014.81.1914.714.30.37
Brook Lopez70720.400.100.31-0.1017-11815.415.5-0.1214.913.61.29
Giannis Antetokounmpo71700.360.140.220.1679-215.515.40.0614.514.7-0.19
Delon Wright24230.250.250.010.11511-616.015.30.7412.315.3-3.01
Damian Lillard71720.240.26-0.03-0.09115615.216.2-1.0215.312.23.13
Taurean Prince51510.230.27-0.050.05610-415.115.8-0.7515.114.01.12
Bobby Portis45450.220.28-0.06-0.0188015.015.8-0.7614.714.40.34
Gary Trent Jr.57570.130.37-0.240.16-117-1815.615.20.4114.115.2-1.10
Andre Jackson Jr.29290.090.41-0.33-0.06511-614.615.8-1.1914.014.8-0.84
Liam Robbins320.000.50-0.500.00016-1618.715.33.3210.514.6-4.14
Stanley Umude320.000.50-0.500.00016-1618.715.33.3210.514.6-4.14
MarJon Beauchamp320.000.50-0.500.00016-1618.715.33.3210.514.6-4.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.0%
MIN 84, OKC 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,1,1,193.9%
ATL 81, DET 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,193.9%