NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	3.1 [588]		MVP	Ty Jerome (CLE): +17.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	128		Comeback	1.0 [655]		LVP	Brandon Boston Jr. (NOP): -8.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Reeves	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.21	0.01	0.11	25	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Trey Jemison III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.07	6	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	14	30%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	18	33%	-0.04	4	-0.05	6	67%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.00	0.00	19	72%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.01	-0.05	12	62%	0.12	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	4	120%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.01	0.12	14	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Travers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.2	21.6	15.5	28.3	1.7	23.4	118.6
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.5%

NOP -1.9%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +3.8%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	14.4	105.3	136.2	112.2
season	14.5	13.8		108.7	121.1
opponent	14.8	14.2		111.9	116.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.5	17.3	15.5	16.4	16.1
CLE	14.5	14.6	12.6	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Jemison III	32	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.18	-6	-22	16	14.4	17.0	-2.67	13.8	14.6	-0.72
Karlo Matkovic	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-32	36	17.2	15.6	1.57	15.5	13.7	1.75
Jamal Cain	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-20	12	15.9	16.5	-0.61	14.2	14.5	-0.21
Antonio Reeves	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-12	-4	16.2	15.9	0.25	14.0	15.7	-1.65
Elfrid Payton	46	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.28	-21	-7	-14	15.5	16.7	-1.17	14.8	13.9	0.84
Brandon Boston Jr.	65	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-9	-10	16.5	15.3	1.19	14.4	14.2	0.12
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.22	-21	-7	-14	16.3	15.7	0.67	14.2	14.6	-0.33
Yves Missi	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	-3	-22	16.7	15.8	0.89	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Javonte Green	53	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.35	-28	0	-28	16.2	16.1	0.14	14.3	14.3	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	45	45	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	0	28	14.0	14.6	-0.57	16.8	15.5	1.28
Jarrett Allen	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.38	27	1	26	12.9	15.7	-2.79	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Jaylon Tyson	75	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	8	12	14.4	14.2	0.20	16.3	15.6	0.67
Craig Porter Jr.	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.18	16	12	4	14.2	14.5	-0.30	16.0	16.6	-0.61
Evan Mobley	35	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.22	17	11	6	14.2	14.4	-0.14	15.2	16.8	-1.65
Georges Niang	44	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	9	10	13.3	15.2	-1.97	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Donovan Mitchell	37	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	16	-4	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.9	16.3	-0.43
Luke Travers	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	23	-18	14.8	13.6	1.19	16.5	15.7	0.82
Tristan Thompson	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	29	-30	15.9	13.3	2.60	17.3	15.4	1.88
JT Thor	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	31	-34	15.6	13.9	1.75	15.9	16.2	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, UTA 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHI 82, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 94, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%