NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	120		Excitement	8.1 [57]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +29.8%
Atlanta Hawks	125		Comeback	1.0 [159]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -12.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	20	74%	0.46	10	-0.33	6	83%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.02	0.04	17	64%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Josh Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Seth Curry	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tre Mann	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	19	41%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Grant Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.04	7	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.3	0.30	0.05	0.18	-0.07	24	62%	0.44	7	-0.14	13	85%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	-0.00	10	90%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	14	67%	0.21	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	41%	0.03	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	34.2	15.4	30.6	2.4	40.5	151.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.8%

ATL +6.3%

CHA -20.7%

ATL +17.5%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	12.4	14.4	117.6	119.0	112.0
season	14.8	13.3		109.5	110.1
opponent	14.3	14.3		115.1	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.2	14.6	14.8	15.3	15.5
ATL	9.5	14.8	11.5	14.1	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	34	36	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-7	9	16.9	14.9	2.00	12.3	12.6	-0.30
Vasilije Micic	34	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-6	7	17.4	14.7	2.75	13.3	12.0	1.31
Grant Williams	58	60	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.38	14	-19	33	16.4	14.6	1.80	12.5	12.4	0.15
Moussa Diabate	18	19	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	1	-7	20.1	14.7	5.40	10.2	13.0	-2.77
Nick Richards	68	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-9	13	14.4	18.1	-3.68	13.3	11.0	2.28
Cody Martin	54	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	3	-11	14.9	16.5	-1.64	11.2	13.9	-2.72
LaMelo Ball	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	1	-7	14.5	17.6	-3.10	13.2	11.2	1.99
Tre Mann	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	16.7	14.5	2.23	12.0	13.0	-0.98
Seth Curry	58	60	-0.62	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	4	-13	15.3	16.0	-0.71	12.3	12.7	-0.48
Miles Bridges	66	70	-0.80	0.31	-1.11	-0.33	-16	11	-27	14.5	17.8	-3.30	12.8	11.9	0.92

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	82	81	0.52	-0.12	0.64	0.11	14	-7	21	12.1	13.5	-1.38	15.7	17.9	-2.24
Trae Young	82	79	0.51	-0.10	0.61	0.18	11	-4	15	12.3	12.1	0.23	15.9	16.5	-0.63
Dyson Daniels	46	47	0.40	0.00	0.40	0.08	11	-4	15	12.2	12.3	-0.11	15.2	16.7	-1.48
De'Andre Hunter	66	66	0.31	0.09	0.22	0.14	6	1	5	11.9	13.1	-1.14	15.3	17.5	-2.19
Clint Capela	49	47	0.25	0.15	0.10	0.13	4	3	1	12.8	11.7	1.12	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Vit Krejci	28	28	0.23	0.17	0.06	0.12	4	3	1	11.0	12.8	-1.76	19.5	14.4	5.05
Onyeka Okongwu	46	46	0.15	0.25	-0.10	0.06	3	4	-1	11.7	12.8	-1.12	17.0	15.0	2.04
Garrison Mathews	38	35	-0.05	0.46	-0.51	0.06	-4	11	-15	13.1	11.8	1.30	16.7	15.5	1.15
Zaccharie Risacher	38	36	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	19	-33	13.4	11.8	1.66	15.5	15.5	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.74,0.95,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	93.0%
IND 84, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.9,0.95,1,1	92.9%
CHI 93, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,1	92.6%