NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	4.4 [163]		MVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): +18.0%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	2.9 [143]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -15.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlton Carrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Poole	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	63%	0.05	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Alexandre Sarr	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.08	13	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Corey Kispert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	13	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	0.07	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	28	43%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.01	0.03	14	81%	0.18	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	9	62%	0.13	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.00	0.10	13	67%	0.03	1	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	15	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	39%	-0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	0.03	18	45%	-0.05	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.6	25.2	14.4	27.3	1.8	36.2	134.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +22.9%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +6.9%

ATL +9.8%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	11.8	14.4	104.5	114.2	112.0
season	13.9	13.3		106.1	110.1
opponent	14.3	13.9		115.1	119.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.1	15.1	15.1	13.3	13.8
ATL	12.3	11.0	12.6	11.2	11.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Davis	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-21	18	14.7	14.7	-0.02	10.6	12.4	-1.80
Jordan Poole	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-17	10	13.7	16.7	-2.96	12.2	11.8	0.43
Kyle Kuzma	66	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-22	20	13.8	16.5	-2.74	12.8	10.7	2.12
Jonas Valanciunas	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.42	-22	-2	-20	15.9	14.0	1.97	11.2	12.6	-1.35
Alexandre Sarr	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-22	20	14.0	15.9	-1.97	12.6	11.2	1.35
Kyshawn George	48	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	13.8	13.9	-0.06	10.7	12.6	-1.90
Corey Kispert	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-3	-18	15.4	13.5	1.83	11.5	13.0	-1.53
Carlton Carrington	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	-4	-16	14.4	15.6	-1.17	12.1	12.0	0.15
Bilal Coulibaly	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	-2	-20	15.4	12.3	3.05	12.5	10.6	1.90

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	3	8	10.5	13.5	-2.99	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Jalen Johnson	82	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	5	4	11.8	11.9	-0.09	13.7	14.5	-0.84
De'Andre Hunter	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	9	-4	10.7	12.8	-2.11	13.1	14.6	-1.58
Dyson Daniels	84	85	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	11	-8	12.1	11.1	1.06	13.3	16.2	-2.88
Trae Young	79	80	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	12	-10	12.0	11.6	0.37	13.1	16.0	-2.89
Keaton Wallace	33	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	2	10	11.6	12.0	-0.37	16.0	13.1	2.89
Garrison Mathews	28	26	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	3	8	11.1	12.1	-1.06	16.2	13.3	2.88
Zaccharie Risacher	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	5	4	12.8	10.7	2.11	14.6	13.1	1.58
Larry Nance Jr.	30	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	9	-4	11.9	11.8	0.09	14.5	13.7	0.84
Clint Capela	50	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	11	-8	13.5	10.5	2.99	14.1	13.9	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIL 86, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 110, OKC 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%