inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 117 Excitement12.9 [8] MVPHaywood Highsmith (MIA): +17.5%
Atlanta Hawks 111 Comeback9.6 [173] LVPBogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): -47.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.180.040.150.021059%0.221-0.0420%-0.18
Nikola Jovic0.150,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.150.21-0.030.041288%0.231-0.082100%0.01
Delon Wright0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.00487%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Tyler Herro0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.06,0.03,0.030.13-0.11-0.012561%0.153-0.12475%0.03
Jimmy Butler0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.040.011461%0.293-0.261377%0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00275%0.072-0.0800%0.00
Kevin Love-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01437%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.08-0.0190%-0.2000.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.250,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.05-0.22-0.01862%-0.105-0.1600%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.040.00586%0.1500.004100%0.04
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.020.01793%0.131-0.0100%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.001052%0.091-0.0410%-0.02
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.000100%0.0500.002100%0.02
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.04-0.120.012348%-0.0900.00250%-0.02
Kobe Bufkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.01921%-0.082-0.0710%-0.01
Clint Capela0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.120.01837%-0.151-0.0100%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.02,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.06-0.19-0.013145%-0.084-0.172100%0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.41,-0.47,-0.47-0.47-0.19-0.30-0.021731%-0.165-0.322100%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game23.43.223.515.428.51.834.02.48.31.813.3155.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.02.415.0135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +88.1%
MIA +2.8%
ATL -31.7%
ATL -8.3%
ATL -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game15.915.214.5103.5100.0113.9
season14.914.2112.3115.7
opponent14.314.8118.0111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.814.816.218.016.115.9
ATL15.216.513.215.515.415.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Herro82810.85-0.351.200.4115-92415.716.4-0.7115.713.72.05
Haywood Highsmith70670.71-0.210.920.507-1815.716.3-0.6515.614.60.98
Bam Adebayo93890.66-0.160.820.3112-61816.214.61.5215.513.91.62
Jimmy Butler84830.330.170.160.2724-216.713.63.1214.916.0-1.12
Delon Wright41410.220.28-0.050.0560614.017.0-3.0215.315.10.28
Nikola Jovic75740.190.31-0.120.22-17-816.814.12.7114.716.1-1.42
Kevin Love1314-0.020.52-0.540.04-28-1012.816.3-3.5413.815.4-1.58
Jaime Jaquez Jr.4444-0.050.55-0.600.10-511-1614.816.6-1.8515.015.2-0.19
Caleb Martin5353-0.390.89-1.29-0.28-410-1416.715.21.4314.715.6-0.96

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrison Mathews42420.19-0.690.88-0.1010-162615.415.00.3115.316.3-1.02
Bruno Fernando43430.05-0.550.60-0.105-111615.215.10.0414.716.6-1.87
Wesley Matthews99-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-5416.315.11.2715.016.0-0.98
Vit Krejci6063-0.16-0.340.19-0.367-132014.416.1-1.7016.315.40.97
Dejounte Murray9295-0.19-0.310.12-0.314-101414.617.8-3.1716.413.13.32
Kobe Bufkin2121-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.06-82-1017.314.72.6213.516.4-2.92
Jalen Johnson4846-0.29-0.21-0.090.12-148-2215.914.61.2614.716.7-1.96
De'Andre Hunter8891-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.300-6614.717.0-2.3716.513.23.32
Clint Capela6870-0.550.05-0.60-0.23-115-1615.115.2-0.0416.614.71.87
Bogdan Bogdanovic8485-0.870.37-1.25-0.23-2216-3815.713.62.0715.915.80.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.55,0.91,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.22,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 104, VAN 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.15,0,086.7%
PHX 118, BOS 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,086.5%
SEA 126, ATL 1230.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.32,0.27,086.5%