NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	126		Excitement	14.6 [3]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): +118.0%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	6.3 [125]		LVP	Delonte West (SEA): -38.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	1.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,1.16,1.16,1.16,1.28,1.28,1.18	0.32	0.88	0.02	20	82%	1.20	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.26	-0.02	0.28	-0.01	18	52%	0.36	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	9	60%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28	-0.05	-0.25	-0.01	14	46%	-0.04	3	-0.24	7	86%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.13	-0.27	-0.00	4	0%	-0.16	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.14	0.40	-0.01	34	53%	0.57	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.09	0.25	-0.01	10	76%	0.45	3	-0.10	9	89%	-0.11
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.24	0.01	6	67%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	13	53%	0.14	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	12	38%	-0.08	1	-0.07	5	80%	0.05
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.33	-0.12	-0.20	0.00	8	35%	-0.09	4	-0.24	4	75%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	33.2	15.4	26.2	2.8	41.0	1.6	16.0	1.5	18.2	183.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +26.0%

SEA +3.2%

SEA +15.8%

ATL -1.3%

SEA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ATL	NBA	SEA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.4	115.6	111.8	105.7
season	14.5	15.4		99.1	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.0		107.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	13.8	14.9	18.3	17.0	17.1	16.0
ATL	14.5	13.4	16.0	17.3	19.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	95	96	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-9	21	15.5	19.1	-3.53	16.3	12.5	3.77
Earl Watson	77	78	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.24	16	-13	29	15.3	17.6	-2.22	16.6	13.9	2.66
Wally Szczerbiak	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	3	-3	17.3	15.2	2.07	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Johan Petro	19	20	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-7	17	14.2	16.4	-2.22	13.7	16.3	-2.56
Mickael Gelabale	13	13	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-8	19	13.0	16.4	-3.40	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Chris Wilcox	79	78	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	3	-3	16.3	15.2	1.14	16.4	14.4	2.00
Kevin Durant	81	83	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	12	-21	17.1	12.7	4.41	15.9	15.4	0.46
Nick Collison	66	69	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	-2	7	15.2	17.2	-2.05	16.0	15.4	0.68
Jeff Green	41	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.31	-17	20	-37	16.0	16.0	0.01	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Delonte West	32	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.18	-13	16	-29	17.6	15.3	2.22	13.9	16.6	-2.66

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	83	83	0.49	-0.99	1.47	-0.04	18	-21	39	15.7	16.0	-0.23	16.1	15.6	0.54
Salim Stoudamire	64	68	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.22	3	-6	9	16.9	14.3	2.59	16.1	15.7	0.42
Tyronn Lue	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-3	3	15.2	16.1	-0.89	17.4	15.3	2.12
Al Horford	99	98	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.54	13	-16	29	15.7	16.2	-0.43	16.5	11.5	5.05
Zaza Pachulia	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	9	-21	15.5	16.0	-0.46	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Josh Childress	82	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	2	-7	16.4	14.0	2.35	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Shelden Williams	28	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	4	-11	12.8	16.8	-4.03	14.2	16.6	-2.34
Joe Johnson	99	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	16.1	12.7	3.40	16.3	14.0	2.26
Solomon Jones	7	5	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	13.6	15.9	-2.37	9.6	16.3	-6.70
Mario West	9	8	-1.08	0.58	-1.65	-0.64	-15	12	-27	14.7	15.9	-1.22	11.5	16.3	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 127, CLE 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.84,0.72,0.53,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.77,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0	86.8%
CLE 107, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.96,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.06,0.03,0	86.5%
NOK 100, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.37,0.68,0.58,0	86.1%