NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Excitement	6.7 [468]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +41.3%
LA Clippers	120		Comeback	82.3 [34]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAC): -11.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.2	0.06	0.20	0.06	12	59%	0.28	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
Isaac Okoro	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.00	4	92%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.04	17	50%	0.07	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Max Strus	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07	0.09	-0.03	-0.02	11	71%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05	0.09	-0.14	0.01	15	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.11,-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	22	57%	0.06	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.03,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.41	0.41	0.09	0.34	0.01	24	61%	0.50	5	-0.08	16	100%	0.10
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.19	0.02	6	117%	0.31	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.23	0.23	-0.04	0.24	-0.03	6	25%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	11	79%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.02	13	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	9	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.6	15.4	27.5	2.4	34.5	137.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +69.3%

CLE -19.1%

CLE -7.7%

LAC +5.1%

LAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.5	118.0	120.0	113.9
season	14.7	14.9		113.1	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		114.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	10.6	17.1	16.9	14.6
LAC	12.0	15.5	14.2	15.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris Sr.	28	28	0.10	-0.59	0.69	0.10	0	-2	2	13.8	14.9	-1.16	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Georges Niang	32	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.19	-5	3	-8	13.9	15.0	-1.10	12.1	15.1	-3.02
Sam Merrill	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.7	-0.72	10.5	14.8	-4.37
Isaac Okoro	54	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-2	2	14.0	15.4	-1.39	14.6	13.7	0.83
Max Strus	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	15.0	13.1	1.84	14.5	13.0	1.48
Darius Garland	81	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-2	2	15.0	12.9	2.06	14.7	11.9	2.85
Evan Mobley	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-2	2	14.5	14.8	-0.25	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Caris LeVert	75	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.59	0	-2	2	14.9	13.7	1.25	14.3	13.7	0.69
Jarrett Allen	72	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.60	-1	-1	0	14.8	14.2	0.56	14.8	12.6	2.23

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	53	53	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.33	18	-16	34	13.4	15.1	-1.67	15.1	14.1	0.97
Norman Powell	60	60	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.21	19	-17	36	13.0	16.0	-2.99	14.7	14.4	0.28
Amir Coffey	59	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.56	4	-2	6	14.2	14.2	-0.07	13.8	15.8	-2.05
Paul George	90	92	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-7	16	14.0	15.4	-1.36	15.0	9.9	5.16
Terance Mann	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.70	-10	12	-22	14.8	13.3	1.46	14.9	14.3	0.60
Mason Plumlee	38	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.24	9	-7	16	14.2	14.2	0.05	14.2	14.9	-0.64
P.J. Tucker	29	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	11	-20	14.7	14.0	0.77	16.3	14.0	2.36
Ivica Zubac	56	57	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	12	-22	14.3	14.0	0.28	14.5	14.7	-0.18
James Harden	56	55	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.15	-20	22	-42	15.4	12.6	2.76	13.5	16.0	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.07,0.14,0.58,1	92.6%
MEM 111, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.24,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.53,1	92.3%
WAS 100, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.58,1	91.9%