NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	8.1 [259]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (NOP): +21.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	6.3 [45]		LVP	Blake Wesley (SAS): -20.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	65%	0.17	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Victor Wembanyama	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	12	61%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Devonte' Graham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	15	59%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Tre Jones	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	78%	0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	10	70%	0.15	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	0.01	12	87%	0.33	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.07
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Ryan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.07	29	53%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.15	0.01	10	68%	-0.00	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	26.7	13.8	22.7	2.0	28.4	119.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +53.1%

NOP -7.2%

NOP -3.1%

SAS +5.8%

SAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOP	NBA	SAS	NOP	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.5	112.1	112.4	113.9
season	13.9	14.4		108.6	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.3		111.0	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.8	14.0	14.9	15.4	14.8
NOP	14.6	15.5	14.5	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malaki Branham	73	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-10	22	14.4	15.8	-1.37	14.8	14.3	0.49
Victor Wembanyama	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-2	6	14.8	14.7	0.07	15.4	12.8	2.62
Devonte' Graham	51	49	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	-3	8	14.7	14.8	-0.11	13.4	15.9	-2.51
Tre Jones	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	2	-2	15.2	14.0	1.18	15.1	13.6	1.54
Zach Collins	56	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	-1	4	15.3	14.0	1.26	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Sandro Mamukelashvili	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-4	10	15.3	14.1	1.14	15.3	13.7	1.61
Julian Champagnie	79	77	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.44	-7	9	-16	14.2	17.0	-2.81	15.1	12.7	2.43
Blake Wesley	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	7	-12	14.9	14.7	0.23	13.1	15.4	-2.38
Sidy Cissoko	14	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	10	-18	13.5	15.0	-1.46	11.8	15.0	-3.19

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hawkins	36	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-6	10	12.8	15.7	-2.86	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Naji Marshall	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	13.0	15.3	-2.27	15.1	14.6	0.54
Matt Ryan	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	2	-6	12.8	15.2	-2.34	15.2	14.6	0.61
Larry Nance Jr.	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	0	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.96	14.8	14.7	0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-1	0	15.3	13.7	1.57	15.2	14.1	1.11
Trey Murphy III	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-5	8	15.4	12.6	2.87	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Dyson Daniels	73	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	15.4	12.4	2.99	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Herbert Jones	77	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	1	-4	15.2	12.2	3.00	14.6	15.2	-0.55
CJ McCollum	82	81	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.46	-6	4	-10	14.4	16.1	-1.70	15.0	13.4	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.64,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	92.7%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	92.0%
POR 109, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.16,0	91.9%