NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Excitement	11.4 [33]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +53.5%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	10.7 [113]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -21.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.54	0.02	0.52	0.00	16	53%	0.60	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Jalen Williams	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.35,0.46,0.37	0.21	0.16	-0.00	18	75%	0.47	1	-0.10	8	50%	-0.16
Josh Giddey	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	11	67%	0.26	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.07
Kenrich Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Chet Holmgren	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	8	28%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.17	0.01	25	52%	0.26	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.12
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	8	74%	0.18	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	15	58%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DaQuan Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	9	54%	0.01	4	-0.20	6	83%	-0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.06,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.18	-0.03	18	37%	-0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	31.6	15.5	34.4	2.4	43.4	152.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +147.2%

NYK -29.7%

NYK -64.5%

NYK -10.5%

OKC +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	13.0	16.6	14.5	115.3	115.5	113.9
season	13.9	15.6		117.2	116.7
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.7	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.8	12.5	14.8	12.0	13.0
NYK	16.0	18.3	16.5	15.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	64	64	1.05	-0.55	1.59	0.72	11	-10	21	12.4	14.1	-1.67	16.9	16.0	0.94
Aaron Wiggins	28	28	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-12	25	13.4	12.8	0.59	16.7	16.5	0.23
Jalen Williams	72	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-4	9	12.7	13.6	-0.83	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Isaiah Joe	33	32	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	12.8	13.1	-0.32	15.0	17.4	-2.37
Luguentz Dort	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	0	1	12.7	13.3	-0.56	16.9	16.2	0.68
Kenrich Williams	22	21	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	-8	17	13.0	13.0	0.04	16.9	16.5	0.40
Jaylin Williams	37	37	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	2	-3	13.8	12.5	1.26	15.9	17.0	-1.17
Cason Wallace	28	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	3	-5	14.1	12.5	1.64	18.7	15.6	3.11
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	72	71	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.18	-15	16	-31	12.8	13.5	-0.67	16.3	17.4	-1.14
Gordon Hayward	23	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	11	-21	14.3	12.6	1.74	14.6	17.2	-2.52
Chet Holmgren	54	52	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	-0.24	-10	11	-21	12.6	13.4	-0.80	17.2	15.9	1.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	69	70	0.53	-1.03	1.55	0.03	17	-18	35	16.9	15.7	1.23	13.1	12.5	0.61
Isaiah Hartenstein	59	59	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.03	7	-8	15	17.4	15.4	1.96	13.1	12.7	0.42
Bojan Bogdanovic	21	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	1	-3	16.3	16.7	-0.39	14.0	12.7	1.39
Alec Burks	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	8	-17	16.2	16.7	-0.49	13.0	13.0	0.04
Josh Hart	92	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.53	4	-5	9	16.5	18.4	-1.91	13.0	13.0	-0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	80	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	0	-1	16.7	15.9	0.78	12.6	14.6	-1.96
DaQuan Jeffries	2	0	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	1.5	16.9	-15.41	0.0	13.0	-12.97
Miles McBride	92	93	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	5	-11	16.7	15.4	1.25	12.9	15.0	-2.14
Precious Achiuwa	44	46	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	12	-25	15.9	17.2	-1.33	12.8	13.1	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.14,0.31,0.55,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	90.1%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	90.0%
MIA 93, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.29,0.55,0.41,0	89.9%