NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	9.3 [120]		MVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): +63.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.7 [774]		LVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): -18.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Bamba	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.13	0.00	7	87%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.09
Buddy Hield	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	6	77%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.00	12	79%	0.27	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	5	80%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	17	60%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	63%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.19	-0.20	-0.02	-0.03	26	30%	-0.11	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.64	0.64	0.11	0.52	-0.01	10	77%	0.68	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.24	0.18	-0.00	14	89%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	79%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	68%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.01	12	56%	0.17	3	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	13	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	28.5	14.4	26.2	2.4	34.8	138.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +68.8%

CLE +8.5%

PHI -7.9%

PHI -23.1%

CLE +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	14.5	123.9	128.6	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		115.6	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.3	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	17.7	16.7	16.3	16.5
CLE	13.4	15.8	13.9	17.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	17	17	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.05	6	-9	15	15.8	16.7	-0.84	15.8	14.8	1.07
Paul Reed	48	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.07	-2	-1	-1	17.4	15.6	1.76	15.4	14.5	0.92
Cameron Payne	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	17.4	16.4	1.03	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Buddy Hield	32	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	0	-3	17.0	16.2	0.80	17.6	13.7	3.94
Nicolas Batum	58	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-9	15	16.1	17.2	-1.15	15.9	13.5	2.44
Tyrese Maxey	81	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-6	9	16.2	19.1	-2.93	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Mo Bamba	43	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	15.8	17.2	-1.40	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Kelly Oubre Jr.	41	41	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	8	-19	16.8	16.3	0.44	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Kyle Lowry	62	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.53	-4	1	-5	16.8	15.8	1.01	13.9	17.2	-3.25
Tobias Harris	69	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	7	-17	16.5	16.5	0.04	14.4	16.7	-2.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	68	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-11	25	15.1	14.6	0.46	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Evan Mobley	61	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	14.0	16.9	-2.95	16.3	17.1	-0.81
Georges Niang	53	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-6	15	16.8	12.4	4.31	16.8	16.1	0.75
Marcus Morris Sr.	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	-1	5	16.5	14.2	2.35	17.2	16.2	0.97
Max Strus	53	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	7	-11	13.4	17.2	-3.78	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Sam Merrill	38	38	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	-4	11	17.2	13.4	3.78	16.7	16.4	0.34
Tristan Thompson	11	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	0	3	15.0	14.9	0.05	14.6	16.8	-2.13
Donovan Mitchell	62	62	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.29	-7	10	-17	14.3	16.3	-1.94	16.9	15.8	1.10
Jarrett Allen	51	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	10	-17	13.9	16.3	-2.44	17.1	15.9	1.22
Isaac Okoro	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	13	-23	15.0	14.9	0.06	15.6	16.9	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	91.6%
UTA 104, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.73,1	91.1%
IND 92, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	91.1%