inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 107 Excitement8.6 [191] MVPMarvin Bagley III (WAS): +24.6%
Chicago Bulls 105 Comeback1.4 [168] LVPJared Butler (WAS): -18.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.120.12-0.00889%0.261-0.022100%0.02
Justin Champagnie0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.14-0.010.15-0.01840%0.1400.00450%-0.04
Johnny Davis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.030.00667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Richaun Holmes0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.050.001061%0.142-0.06367%-0.00
Jordan Poole0.070,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.02-0.012053%0.112-0.043100%0.02
Tristan Vukcevic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00560%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Gill0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert-0.000,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0-0.01-0.01-0.021847%0.052-0.064100%0.05
Jules Bernard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01520%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jared Butler-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18-0.15-0.06-0.021231%-0.054-0.142100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jevon Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.04-0.00580%0.1100.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.00-0.00867%0.091-0.042100%0.01
Ayo Dosunmu0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.01957%0.112-0.05367%0.01
Coby White0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.01-0.042046%0.071-0.048100%0.07
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01956%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dalen Terry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.00736%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01564%0.073-0.09475%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.02,-0.07,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.05-0.022249%0.083-0.121173%0.00
Onuralp Bitim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.426.614.426.52.442.2138.9
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +23.0%
CHI -0.9%
WAS +30.1%
CHI -7.2%
WAS +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHINBAWASCHINBA
this game15.313.614.5108.1105.0113.9
season13.714.5109.8113.4
opponent15.014.1115.1118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.916.313.817.315.3
CHI16.813.813.310.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Champagnie54540.58-0.080.650.435-3816.613.82.7713.513.8-0.34
Corey Kispert79800.460.040.420.209-71614.917.1-2.2113.813.00.78
Marvin Bagley III34350.440.060.380.1211-92015.115.5-0.4215.712.53.13
Jordan Poole64660.440.060.370.353-1414.816.3-1.4312.216.4-4.14
Jared Butler54530.290.210.080.41-46-1016.513.92.6114.212.91.29
Patrick Baldwin Jr.56550.230.27-0.05-0.049-71614.117.0-2.9114.912.02.86
Richaun Holmes64650.100.40-0.290.34-810-1815.714.70.9112.515.7-3.13
Tristan Vukcevic18190.080.42-0.330.23-57-1217.614.82.7212.913.8-0.83
Jules Bernard26270.000.50-0.500.18-68-1416.714.91.7913.313.8-0.49
Anthony Gill10-0.040.54-0.59-0.01-13-44.015.4-11.450.013.6-13.62
Johnny Davis4546-0.080.58-0.650.01-35-813.816.6-2.7713.813.50.34

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Onuralp Bitim88-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-2215.913.42.4516.715.21.54
Andre Drummond3735-0.04-0.460.42-0.319-112014.113.30.7716.314.81.43
DeMar DeRozan7777-0.09-0.410.32-0.3810-122213.414.5-1.1116.013.12.82
Alex Caruso6867-0.13-0.370.24-0.337-91613.613.6-0.0115.714.71.00
Dalen Terry2123-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-20-213.913.60.3015.715.20.47
Jevon Carter3633-0.20-0.300.09-0.17-1-1014.713.01.6414.515.8-1.32
Torrey Craig4240-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-108-1814.512.91.6013.816.4-2.61
Nikola Vucevic6363-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.20-86-1413.314.1-0.7715.015.9-0.92
Coby White7677-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.39-20-213.015.6-2.5815.714.01.66
Ayo Dosunmu7272-0.570.07-0.65-0.19-1311-2413.214.8-1.6214.816.7-1.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.5,0.38,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 107, NYK 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.16,092.8%
SAC 125, DAL 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,092.4%
DAL 110, NYK 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,092.2%