NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	7.4 [356]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +38.6%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.1 [965]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -16.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.39	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.39	0.20	0.19	0.01	33	61%	0.51	3	-0.12	19	84%	0.07
Daniel Gibson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.00	8	69%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	37%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	13	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	12	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28	0.28	0.25	0.06	0.02	24	74%	0.35	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	5	64%	0.09	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	11	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.13	-0.04	8	40%	0.02	3	-0.19	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	26.4	17.4	24.5	2.5	39.4	138.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.8%

CLE +1.3%

NYK -7.7%

CLE +27.7%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	17.6	12.4	15.5	111.5	106.2	106.4
season	16.9	13.8		110.6	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.1	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	16.8	17.7	19.6	17.6
NYK	12.2	13.2	11.8	12.2	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	78	80	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-13	31	17.5	18.1	-0.59	12.6	11.1	1.49
LeBron James	89	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	17.7	16.3	1.46	12.4	12.0	0.40
Mo Williams	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	3	-1	18.2	15.9	2.30	12.1	13.2	-1.12
Ben Wallace	59	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-6	17	16.7	19.1	-2.31	12.7	11.8	0.95
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	0	5	16.9	18.8	-1.91	12.8	11.6	1.16
Daniel Gibson	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	9	-13	17.8	17.4	0.35	12.5	12.1	0.34
JJ Hickson	19	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	17.8	17.6	0.19	10.6	12.8	-2.23
Anderson Varejao	51	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.28	-10	15	-25	18.6	16.6	2.03	11.8	13.0	-1.22

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	46	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-12	19	11.9	12.8	-0.83	18.4	16.9	1.42
Quentin Richardson	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	13.4	11.3	2.17	17.0	18.3	-1.33
Al Harrington	84	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-10	15	12.1	14.2	-2.06	17.3	19.9	-2.61
Jared Jeffries	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	3	-11	13.1	12.1	0.97	16.2	18.1	-1.85
Tim Thomas	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-9	13	11.4	13.3	-1.88	19.5	15.9	3.58
Nate Robinson	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	11.2	13.9	-2.67	18.6	16.3	2.26
Wilson Chandler	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	0	-5	11.4	13.1	-1.71	17.8	17.5	0.27
Chris Duhon	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	5	-15	13.4	10.5	2.84	16.6	19.5	-2.93
David Lee	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.22	-17	12	-29	13.2	10.3	2.93	17.3	18.5	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	91.4%
GSW 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0	91.3%
TOR 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	91.2%