NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	122		Excitement	8.3 [233]		MVP	Micah Potter (UTA): +26.5%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	1.6 [452]		LVP	Vit Krejci (ATL): -14.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.02	-0.01	17	75%	0.29	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.04	5	108%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	23	46%	0.13	3	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02
Bruno Fernando	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Trent Forrest	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.11,-0.09	0.04	-0.11	0.01	27	52%	0.02	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Vit Krejci	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	5	20%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.13	0.00	4	122%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.10	-0.00	11	86%	0.30	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.01	16	66%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	19	54%	0.19	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
John Collins	0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	10	78%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jason Preston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	27.4	14.6	30.2	1.6	30.2	131.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.8%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +2.2%

ATL -16.2%

UTA +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	14.5	120.8	122.8	113.9
season	14.2	14.7		115.7	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.3		119.0	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	14.0	13.5	14.4	13.6
UTA	15.6	15.4	13.7	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	13.4	13.7	-0.31	15.1	14.8	0.31
Wesley Matthews	40	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	1	-4	13.7	13.6	0.19	13.2	15.9	-2.71
Vit Krejci	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-6	10	13.5	13.9	-0.44	15.1	14.5	0.67
Dejounte Murray	81	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-8	14	13.3	14.8	-1.52	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Trent Forrest	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	4	-10	13.9	13.5	0.44	14.5	15.1	-0.67
De'Andre Hunter	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-6	10	13.5	13.8	-0.24	15.8	13.2	2.62
Garrison Mathews	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	9	-20	13.7	13.6	0.06	15.0	14.8	0.14
Clint Capela	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-2	2	13.7	13.4	0.31	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Jalen Johnson	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	0	-2	14.0	12.8	1.17	14.9	14.9	0.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	65	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-4	10	15.1	14.5	0.59	13.8	13.2	0.62
Johnny Juzang	51	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	-1	4	14.7	15.0	-0.31	13.9	13.4	0.49
Walker Kessler	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	2	-2	14.7	15.1	-0.35	13.6	13.6	0.02
Keyonte George	73	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	2	-2	15.0	14.6	0.43	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Jason Preston	26	27	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-4	10	14.2	15.1	-0.88	14.3	13.4	0.85
John Collins	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	6	-10	15.3	14.2	1.12	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Talen Horton-Tucker	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	2	-2	14.4	15.2	-0.76	13.4	13.8	-0.30
Micah Potter	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	0	2	14.8	14.9	-0.06	12.6	14.1	-1.52
Taylor Hendricks	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	0	2	14.3	15.3	-1.06	14.0	13.4	0.64
Brice Sensabaugh	61	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	7	-12	15.4	14.1	1.25	13.6	13.7	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.58,0.66,0.85,0.8,0.63,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.7%
PHI 122, ATL 130	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1	92.7%
OKC 119, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	92.6%