NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	8.3 [226]		MVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): +16.9%
Miami Heat	108		Comeback	3.1 [90]		LVP	Duncan Robinson (MIA): -12.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.17	0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	15	69%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.08	0.01	8	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.09	-0.00	14	55%	0.17	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.02	23	52%	0.20	4	-0.12	16	75%	-0.01
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	73%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Eugene Omoruyi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	9	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	14	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	20	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	16	50%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	6	46%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	16	47%	0.01	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	25.2	15.3	28.6	2.5	33.9	132.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +70.7%

WAS +13.3%

MIA -22.5%

MIA -9.4%

MIA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.5	111.1	110.2	113.9
season	13.7	14.9		109.8	112.3
opponent	14.8	14.1		111.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	14.4	14.3	14.4	14.1
MIA	15.4	13.8	15.1	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	76	74	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.41	17	-15	32	14.0	14.5	-0.44	15.1	15.1	0.02
Corey Kispert	80	80	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-10	22	14.4	13.1	1.35	15.2	14.8	0.40
Kyle Kuzma	80	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-7	16	14.3	13.5	0.83	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Deni Avdija	72	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-7	16	13.9	14.8	-0.93	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Tyus Jones	78	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-7	16	14.4	13.3	1.09	15.1	15.0	0.13
Anthony Gill	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	3	-4	2.0	14.3	-12.27	0.0	15.1	-15.10
Johnny Davis	19	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	6	-10	11.8	14.7	-2.85	16.9	14.7	2.26
Eugene Omoruyi	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	18.8	13.9	4.91	16.2	15.0	1.16
Landry Shamet	15	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	11	-20	14.1	14.2	-0.09	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	23	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	9	-16	13.0	14.5	-1.43	15.6	15.0	0.61
Jordan Poole	46	48	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	0.08	-21	23	-44	14.9	13.5	1.36	14.5	15.7	-1.26

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	53	52	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	15.0	15.2	-0.18	13.4	14.9	-1.51
Patty Mills	28	29	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.12	9	-11	20	16.1	14.7	1.41	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Orlando Robinson	5	5	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-6	10	16.2	15.0	1.16	18.8	13.9	4.91
Haywood Highsmith	9	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	13.8	15.2	-1.46	14.3	14.1	0.22
Nikola Jovic	48	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-2	2	16.0	14.3	1.68	13.1	15.2	-2.02
Caleb Martin	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-5	8	15.2	14.9	0.25	13.9	14.6	-0.67
Jimmy Butler	72	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-2	2	15.7	13.5	2.18	14.3	13.7	0.52
Terry Rozier	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	7	-16	14.5	16.7	-2.11	14.5	13.1	1.39
Bam Adebayo	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	7	-16	14.5	16.7	-2.11	14.5	13.1	1.39
Duncan Robinson	69	69	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	9	-20	14.7	16.0	-1.23	14.5	13.3	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.1%
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.1%
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	91.8%