NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	9.7 [92]		MVP	Bol Bol (PHX): +49.4%
Houston Rockets	114		Comeback	3.8 [204]		LVP	Eric Gordon (PHX): -16.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bol Bol	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.49	0.16	0.33	0.01	17	69%	0.51	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Grayson Allen	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.03	-0.00	-0.05	22	52%	0.11	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Drew Eubanks	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	24	42%	-0.09	1	-0.01	11	100%	0.08
Eric Gordon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	8	31%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.14	-0.04	18	50%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.06
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.11	0.01	15	68%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.12,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	15	45%	0.08	2	-0.11	8	62%	0.07
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	11	56%	0.07	4	-0.14	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	27.5	14.7	31.4	2.5	48.3	152.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.1%

HOU +9.4%

HOU +50.3%

PHX -24.0%

HOU +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	13.3	14.5	106.8	109.6	113.9
season	14.6	14.2		116.1	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.2	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	16.0	15.6	14.2	14.6
HOU	13.0	11.3	14.4	14.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	24	25	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-14	24	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.7	12.8	1.87
Bol Bol	58	56	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-6	8	14.8	14.3	0.46	13.4	13.1	0.21
Thaddeus Young	42	41	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-3	2	13.8	15.1	-1.29	13.0	13.4	-0.47
Grayson Allen	76	77	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.41	15	-19	34	13.8	16.9	-3.09	14.5	9.6	4.95
Drew Eubanks	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-4	4	15.8	13.2	2.63	13.6	12.9	0.78
Kevin Durant	81	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-10	16	14.5	14.9	-0.37	13.6	11.9	1.71
Eric Gordon	64	66	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	10	-24	15.2	13.6	1.62	12.7	14.2	-1.54
Royce O'Neale	38	40	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.19	-23	19	-42	14.1	14.9	-0.78	10.7	14.8	-4.12
Devin Booker	79	80	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.44	-15	11	-26	14.5	15.0	-0.50	12.8	14.9	-2.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	74	73	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-11	26	12.7	14.5	-1.79	14.6	14.5	0.15
Alperen Sengun	74	71	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.57	6	-2	8	13.6	12.3	1.35	15.1	13.4	1.65
Fred VanVleet	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	12.9	14.2	-1.24	15.2	12.8	2.41
Jabari Smith Jr.	87	86	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.50	1	3	-2	13.8	10.7	3.05	14.8	13.6	1.11
Jalen Green	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	-2	8	13.6	13.0	0.60	15.6	13.8	1.77
Cam Whitmore	59	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	5	-6	13.0	13.6	-0.60	13.8	15.6	-1.77
Aaron Holiday	25	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	6	-8	13.0	13.4	-0.39	12.2	15.4	-3.19
Jeff Green	37	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	4	-4	11.9	14.0	-2.12	12.9	15.5	-2.62
Dillon Brooks	55	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.23	-11	15	-26	13.9	12.5	1.42	14.7	14.4	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.29,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.88,0.77,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	90.4%
IND 98, BKN 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.54,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	89.9%
MEM 108, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.42,1	89.6%