inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 108 Excitement9.0 [176] MVPJaMychal Green (MEM): +27.0%
Miami Heat 112 Comeback2.7 [634] LVPShelvin Mack (MEM): -17.9%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JaMychal Green0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.270.170.110.011180%0.311-0.04887%0.03
Jaren Jackson Jr.0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.00872%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,00.08-0.08-0.001561%0.062-0.06683%0.01
Joakim Noah-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.010.00350%0.021-0.0220%-0.03
Omri Casspi-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00533%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Jevon Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.03664%0.012-0.06250%-0.01
Justin Holiday-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.00420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Marc Gasol-0.080,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.080.03-0.100.001454%0.021-0.1000%0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18-0.03-0.150.001345%-0.122-0.06367%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.110.110.16-0.020.031676%0.152-0.042100%0.01
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.020.00978%0.203-0.1200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.01658%0.103-0.05771%-0.05
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01558%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.070.00787%0.193-0.201100%0.00
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011046%0.011-0.04450%-0.03
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.060.031150%0.021-0.09683%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.050.021142%-0.0800.00250%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.430.314.727.31.034.0135.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +37.5%
MEM -6.6%
MIA +5.7%
MIA +8.7%
MIA +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game15.615.114.3114.9119.1109.3
season15.414.8105.4106.3
opponent14.314.2106.7107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.815.516.314.815.6
MIA15.514.514.315.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Omri Casspi33330.35-0.851.19-0.1216-203615.615.6-0.0116.514.32.21
Joakim Noah26280.27-0.771.03-0.1113-173014.316.1-1.7716.014.71.35
Kyle Anderson17160.17-0.670.85-0.037-111815.815.50.2914.615.2-0.59
Jevon Carter14150.06-0.560.62-0.064-81214.515.8-1.2813.115.4-2.36
JaMychal Green4548-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-6814.716.4-1.7214.915.2-0.28
Shelvin Mack6464-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.311-5615.116.7-1.6414.715.8-1.15
Justin Holiday2830-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-128-2016.415.21.1515.714.71.00
Garrett Temple7069-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-1612-2816.014.41.5714.815.9-1.13
Mike Conley6866-0.550.05-0.60-0.34-73-1015.615.40.2215.314.50.84
Jaren Jackson Jr.5352-0.670.17-0.84-0.41-95-1416.514.42.1614.715.5-0.76
Marc Gasol6866-0.770.27-1.03-0.27-1713-3016.114.31.7714.716.0-1.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow63660.87-0.371.250.2023-194214.815.6-0.8416.114.31.80
Bam Adebayo73750.76-0.261.020.2318-143214.417.2-2.8116.213.32.91
Josh Richardson67690.61-0.110.730.388-41214.815.7-0.8616.014.41.56
Dwyane Wade51500.310.190.120.1940415.115.00.1014.516.8-2.36
Kelly Olynyk49480.230.27-0.040.35-48-1214.915.2-0.2415.615.50.08
Rodney McGruder27270.100.40-0.300.25-59-1415.315.00.3416.415.31.15
James Johnson27270.100.40-0.300.25-59-1415.315.00.3416.415.31.15
Derrick Jones Jr.3534-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-15-616.414.22.1914.416.2-1.84
Dion Waiters2119-0.190.69-0.870.11-1014-2416.914.52.3813.816.0-2.25
Tyler Johnson5755-0.260.76-1.02-0.02-812-2014.815.5-0.7615.116.2-1.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 100, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.61,0.91,0.72,190.0%
MEM 101, IND 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.65,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.42,189.6%
DET 84, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.67,0.74,189.5%