NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	145		Excitement	16.3 [1]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +89.5%
Golden State Warriors	144		Comeback	21.1 [67]		LVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): -14.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.57	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.12,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.57	0.14	0.48	0.05	25	64%	0.77	3	-0.20	6	100%	0.21
D'Angelo Russell	0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.17,0.39	0.07	0.32	-0.00	19	62%	0.73	4	-0.33	7	100%	0.09
Rui Hachimura	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	4	110%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	14	46%	0.03	5	-0.16	9	89%	0.03
Anthony Davis	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.03	-0.16	0.01	24	51%	0.10	2	-0.24	9	78%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.44,0.9	0.90	0.17	0.73	0.01	35	63%	1.02	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.02	0.23	-0.01	24	50%	0.34	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	16	58%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	80%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.14	-0.20	0.00	12	76%	-0.00	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.18
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	33.6	16.7	33.2	0.2	41.2	2.5	16.1	2.5	19.4	194.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -83.7%

LAL +119.9%

LAL +43.4%

GSW -63.6%

LAL +34.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	14.5	114.2	112.5	113.9
season	14.1	14.3		114.4	116.2
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.1	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	13.5	13.3	13.3	11.7	18.5	13.5
GSW	12.2	13.9	14.3	14.4	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	89	91	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.12	29	-28	57	12.9	15.4	-2.51	14.0	12.8	1.15
D'Angelo Russell	105	107	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-11	23	13.4	14.6	-1.21	14.1	11.2	2.89
Austin Reaves	104	105	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-3	7	13.9	12.3	1.68	13.0	16.5	-3.49
Anthony Davis	99	101	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	3	-5	13.7	13.3	0.45	13.0	16.1	-3.11
LeBron James	104	103	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.62	-6	7	-13	14.0	12.2	1.79	13.9	12.7	1.16
Taurean Prince	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.68	-21	22	-43	14.9	12.7	2.18	12.7	14.3	-1.58
Rui Hachimura	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	-5	11	12.6	14.1	-1.51	15.4	12.9	2.51
Max Christie	20	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	4	-7	11.7	14.0	-2.30	13.1	13.8	-0.65
Christian Wood	23	22	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.00	-14	15	-29	14.7	13.4	1.29	14.6	13.5	1.13

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	104	103	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.44	2	-3	5	13.8	12.8	1.01	13.3	15.2	-1.89
Dario Saric	35	35	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.51	-1	0	-1	14.7	13.3	1.42	11.3	14.5	-3.25
Draymond Green	97	99	0.40	-0.90	1.29	-0.51	31	-32	63	13.0	15.6	-2.58	15.1	8.3	6.82
Trayce Jackson-Davis	12	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	5	-11	14.8	13.5	1.30	13.3	13.7	-0.37
Kevon Looney	15	13	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	13	-27	13.6	13.7	-0.06	8.1	14.3	-6.20
Cory Joseph	32	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-1	1	14.9	13.2	1.71	13.2	13.8	-0.63
Andrew Wiggins	91	92	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-2	3	13.2	14.7	-1.43	14.0	12.7	1.24
Brandin Podziemski	62	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	6	-13	14.2	13.1	1.07	13.2	14.0	-0.85
Stephen Curry	97	96	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.72	-2	1	-3	13.1	15.4	-2.24	13.8	13.1	0.67
Jonathan Kuminga	95	92	-1.28	0.78	-2.07	-1.02	-9	8	-17	13.7	13.5	0.27	14.1	12.5	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.67,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.65,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.45,0.15,0.15,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.58,0	84.5%
SAC 116, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.51,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.16,0.03,0	84.4%
LAL 120, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.17,0	84.3%