NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	9.1 [135]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +27.3%
Brooklyn Nets	103		Comeback	6.5 [260]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (BKN): -34.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	19	65%	0.50	4	-0.23	8	100%	0.03
Miles McBride	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Josh Hart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.06,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	0.11	-0.21	0.02	22	59%	-0.04	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.23	0.03	0.02	26	67%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.08
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.13	-0.17	0.01	14	66%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	10	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.11	-0.26	-0.02	9	44%	-0.12	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.3	27.5	16.3	24.9	2.8	31.3	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.3%

NYK +20.0%

NYK +12.0%

BKN -10.0%

NYK +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	14.5	113.7	110.8	113.9
season	15.6	14.8		117.0	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		114.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	15.3	14.9	13.7	14.9
BKN	14.4	16.7	15.7	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	45	44	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.41	13	-8	21	13.6	16.0	-2.38	15.5	16.1	-0.60
OG Anunoby	65	62	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-6	17	14.6	15.3	-0.70	16.7	14.0	2.74
Josh Hart	58	58	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-4	13	14.4	15.5	-1.04	14.8	17.4	-2.57
Jalen Brunson	68	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-2	9	14.9	14.8	0.10	16.4	14.0	2.39
Julius Randle	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	8	-11	14.9	14.8	0.04	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Quentin Grimes	43	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	0	5	14.2	15.4	-1.13	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Miles McBride	27	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	7	-9	14.8	14.9	-0.10	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Jericho Sims	50	49	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	13	-21	16.0	13.6	2.38	16.1	15.5	0.60
Donte DiVincenzo	46	47	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.17	-7	12	-19	16.2	13.6	2.69	16.8	14.7	2.09

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	32	33	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-12	19	17.8	14.8	3.03	16.2	14.1	2.13
Cam Thomas	45	48	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	-2	-1	14.8	16.7	-1.84	13.4	16.3	-2.90
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-9	13	16.0	15.1	0.94	15.4	13.4	1.92
Lonnie Walker IV	23	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.4	15.6	0.85	15.0	14.8	0.25
Royce O'Neale	40	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	3	-11	14.7	16.6	-1.97	15.1	14.6	0.53
Cameron Johnson	48	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.9	13.8	2.10
Mikal Bridges	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-5	5	15.7	16.0	-0.26	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Nic Claxton	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.1	2.05	14.2	17.4	-3.14
Dennis Smith Jr.	59	60	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.39	-11	6	-17	14.9	17.3	-2.32	14.5	15.4	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.73,0.67,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.28,0	92.0%
TOR 108, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.09,0	91.7%
LAL 97, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	91.6%