NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	140		Excitement	6.9 [438]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +19.4%
Utah Jazz	137		Comeback	2.3 [592]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): -29.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	14	72%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.17	0.30	-0.08	0.05	22	76%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	73%	0.14	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	81%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lester Quinones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	14	44%	0.03	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.18	-0.00	0.07	18	71%	0.15	3	-0.05	13	92%	-0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.21	-0.13	0.03	22	70%	0.14	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.09	0.00	14	62%	0.20	1	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.21	0.03	23	40%	-0.27	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	27.3	15.3	27.5	2.0	34.0	134.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.0%

UTA -1.8%

UTA -30.9%

GSW +33.1%

GSW +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	14.3	14.5	135.9	131.7	113.9
season	14.3	14.7		116.2	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.4		119.0	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	12.5	12.5	15.9	13.5
UTA	13.8	16.3	13.7	13.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandin Podziemski	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-2	7	13.7	13.1	0.55	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Gary Payton II	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-4	11	12.8	13.9	-1.11	14.4	14.3	0.08
Stephen Curry	78	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	5	-7	13.5	13.7	-0.22	13.7	16.1	-2.33
Klay Thompson	59	62	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-4	11	13.6	13.4	0.14	14.0	14.7	-0.64
Lester Quinones	34	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-7	17	13.0	13.8	-0.81	15.7	13.6	2.03
Draymond Green	62	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	9	-15	13.7	13.3	0.37	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Dario Saric	21	20	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	-1	5	13.8	13.5	0.31	17.0	13.7	3.40
Andrew Wiggins	62	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.55	-14	17	-31	14.1	12.7	1.38	14.1	14.6	-0.55
Trayce Jackson-Davis	16	15	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	2	-1	13.7	13.5	0.20	17.3	13.8	3.54
Kevon Looney	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	-5	13	13.0	13.7	-0.63	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Jonathan Kuminga	53	54	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	8	-13	13.4	13.7	-0.28	13.8	14.8	-1.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	74	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.60	15	-18	33	13.7	15.7	-1.96	13.9	12.7	1.20
Walker Kessler	54	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-4	5	15.1	13.4	1.71	13.9	13.1	0.81
Talen Horton-Tucker	10	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	6	-15	18.3	13.9	4.42	13.2	13.6	-0.37
Keyonte George	88	88	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-10	17	14.1	15.3	-1.19	13.5	13.5	0.06
Taylor Hendricks	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	9	-21	14.2	14.3	-0.09	12.7	13.9	-1.26
Lauri Markkanen	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-11	19	14.2	14.6	-0.43	14.0	12.5	1.47
John Collins	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-3	3	13.8	15.2	-1.33	13.2	14.1	-0.82
Kris Dunn	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	10	-23	14.0	14.6	-0.64	13.0	14.0	-1.02
Jordan Clarkson	71	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	9	-21	14.8	13.3	1.47	13.5	13.5	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.02,0	95.6%
GSW 110, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.0%
LAC 128, MEM 119	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%