inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 99 Excitement2.5 [1204] MVPTrae Young (ATL): +8.3%
Atlanta Hawks 109 Comeback1.0 [1147] LVPKeldon Johnson (SAS): -12.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.120.010.091870%0.063-0.031100%0.01
Dominick Barlow0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03433%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Sochan-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,00.05-0.020.031662%0.084-0.095100%0.01
Cedi Osman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.04530%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04560%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Blake Wesley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04430%-0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Julian Champagnie-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.150.000.16894%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malaki Branham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Devin Vassell-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.051118%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tre Jones-0.100,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.00837%-0.073-0.0300%0.00
Keldon Johnson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.22-0.01-0.121119%-0.075-0.06560%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trae Young0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.15-0.000.072463%0.103-0.01989%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.00-0.08841%0.052-0.011100%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.071543%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.010.03765%0.041-0.04650%-0.00
Jalen Johnson0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01-0.021359%0.075-0.081100%0.00
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.03945%-0.0300.00475%-0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.130.00-0.081025%-0.033-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.53.324.616.432.43.430.6136.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +32.2%
ATL +1.1%
ATL +9.5%
ATL +4.0%
ATL +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASATLNBASASATLNBA
this game12.313.914.589.2100.0113.9
season13.914.2108.6115.7
opponent14.314.3118.0115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.413.811.910.012.3
ATL13.811.014.416.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sandro Mamukelashvili33-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-6214.312.22.109.714.0-4.36
Doug McDermott3434-0.09-0.410.33-0.142-121412.712.10.5614.313.70.52
Blake Wesley2927-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-4-214.311.62.6913.314.1-0.76
Dominick Barlow3938-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-4-213.711.52.1612.914.5-1.60
Julian Champagnie4643-0.18-0.320.15-0.325-152012.312.20.1015.712.82.88
Malaki Branham2224-0.21-0.290.090.41-2111-3213.911.92.0211.314.6-3.36
Cedi Osman2927-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-111-1214.411.52.8812.414.4-2.00
Keldon Johnson6261-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-6212.312.30.0413.015.1-2.14
Tre Jones7168-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.435-152011.214.2-3.0314.612.81.81
Devin Vassell6970-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.18-4-6211.413.8-2.3714.512.81.77
Jeremy Sochan8787-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-6212.013.2-1.1714.113.10.97
Victor Wembanyama6463-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.28-2-8611.213.8-2.6414.413.21.27

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Johnson87880.50-0.000.500.0316-62213.714.9-1.2012.212.4-0.18
Trae Young87880.50-0.000.500.0316-62213.714.9-1.2012.212.4-0.18
Garrison Mathews30310.310.190.12-0.1917-72412.814.3-1.5813.611.81.88
Bogdan Bogdanovic57580.300.200.100.1846-214.213.60.6712.811.71.06
Clint Capela56580.260.240.030.0382613.814.0-0.2512.112.5-0.31
Onyeka Okongwu53530.240.26-0.030.1828-614.013.80.2512.512.10.31
Dejounte Murray74760.200.30-0.100.20010-1013.913.80.1211.913.0-1.08
Saddiq Bey74760.200.30-0.100.20010-1013.913.80.1211.913.0-1.08
Trent Forrest2727-0.010.51-0.520.37-1323-3615.913.32.5811.812.4-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 104, GSW 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
MIA 97, TOR 1210.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
WAS 89, UTA 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%