NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	10.3 [59]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +53.1%
Boston Celtics	127		Comeback	54.9 [63]		LVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): -7.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.11	0.24	-0.01	8	83%	0.40	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.24	0.12	0.13	0.01	17	61%	0.24	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.05
Kyle Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	12	61%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.01	15	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Edwards	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	25	54%	0.33	5	-0.29	4	100%	0.13
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.53	0.53	0.30	0.31	0.07	26	68%	0.60	1	-0.07	14	93%	0.04
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41	0.41	0.25	0.17	0.01	16	78%	0.45	2	-0.03	13	100%	0.14
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.06	0.20	-0.01	15	40%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	27.4	14.6	29.2	1.8	36.2	2.4	19.2	157.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -0.5%

BOS +13.9%

BOS +29.9%

BOS +14.3%

MIN -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	14.5	112.1	122.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		114.4	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	16.6	14.6	16.4	17.3	13.5	15.9
BOS	13.4	15.4	14.9	14.0	12.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	18	18	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.05	8	-15	23	16.1	15.9	0.23	14.9	14.0	0.90
Naz Reid	75	71	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-9	11	15.9	15.9	-0.03	14.7	13.1	1.58
Jordan McLaughlin	35	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-2	-3	15.5	16.1	-0.64	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Troy Brown Jr.	17	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	0	-7	15.6	16.0	-0.39	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Kyle Anderson	68	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.1	15.5	0.59	13.7	15.0	-1.28
Anthony Edwards	91	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-6	5	16.0	15.6	0.34	14.2	14.1	0.16
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	81	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	-3	-1	16.0	15.6	0.40	14.4	13.7	0.69
Jaden McDaniels	49	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	5	-17	16.1	15.8	0.27	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Karl-Anthony Towns	89	88	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.52	-5	-2	-3	16.1	15.2	0.83	14.4	13.0	1.42

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	84	87	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-3	13	14.1	14.8	-0.74	16.4	13.6	2.79
Al Horford	74	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	5	-3	14.4	13.6	0.85	16.1	15.5	0.56
Jayson Tatum	84	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	4	-1	14.3	13.6	0.75	15.6	17.3	-1.70
Jrue Holiday	79	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	-1	9	14.1	14.7	-0.63	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Derrick White	73	75	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	3	1	14.3	14.0	0.33	16.7	14.0	2.69
Luke Kornet	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.15	6	1	5	14.0	14.3	-0.27	16.1	15.8	0.29
Payton Pritchard	33	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.12	3	4	-1	13.9	14.3	-0.43	15.2	16.2	-1.04
Sam Hauser	36	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	9	-11	14.1	14.2	-0.10	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Oshae Brissett	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	13	-19	16.5	14.0	2.54	14.4	16.1	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.17,0.05,0.15,0.05,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.23,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.47,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.29,0.28,0.03,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	89.2%
BKN 133, MEM 134	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.6,0.32,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.85,1	88.9%
MEM 82, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	88.3%