NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	10.0 [72]		MVP	Caleb Houstan (ORL): +34.1%
Orlando Magic	117		Comeback	3.1 [269]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -34.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.13	0.01	10	64%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	17	53%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.04	-0.03	23	55%	0.30	5	-0.21	10	70%	-0.03
Dejounte Murray	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	20	48%	0.14	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Jalen Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.10	-0.04	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.15	0.00	15	76%	0.34	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.22	-0.02	29	54%	0.39	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.04
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	12	58%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevelin Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33,-0.35,-0.34	-0.34	-0.14	-0.19	0.01	13	33%	-0.17	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	26.6	14.7	25.2	2.3	34.8	2.7	17.2	154.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.6%

ATL -10.2%

ORL +39.7%

ATL -5.5%

ORL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.7	15.9	14.5	102.8	108.3	113.9
season	14.2	15.1		115.7	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.4	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.3	12.9	15.2	12.5	13.2	13.7
ORL	14.5	14.8	14.2	19.7	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	17	18	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-18	29	13.8	13.7	0.17	18.1	15.5	2.60
Onyeka Okongwu	64	65	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.38	19	-26	45	13.4	14.1	-0.73	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	52	54	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-20	33	14.0	13.4	0.66	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Garrison Mathews	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.7	13.6	4.10	13.7	16.0	-2.29
Trae Young	86	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	3	-13	13.7	13.6	0.08	15.9	15.8	0.10
Clint Capela	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	9	-25	13.8	13.4	0.37	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Dejounte Murray	82	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.20	-14	7	-21	13.0	15.8	-2.76	16.0	15.7	0.26
Saddiq Bey	77	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	10	-27	13.3	14.6	-1.23	16.3	14.9	1.35
Jalen Johnson	80	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.15	-20	13	-33	14.4	11.6	2.79	16.1	15.3	0.74

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paolo Banchero	90	90	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-11	29	15.8	16.5	-0.73	13.7	13.5	0.25
Chuma Okeke	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-10	27	15.5	17.0	-1.54	14.2	12.4	1.83
Jalen Suggs	58	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-9	25	16.2	15.5	0.65	13.4	14.0	-0.53
Goga Bitadze	54	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-7	21	16.9	14.9	2.04	13.3	14.1	-0.73
Caleb Houstan	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-6	19	16.6	14.4	2.20	13.2	14.8	-1.69
Markelle Fultz	32	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	13	-19	14.5	16.5	-2.02	14.6	13.3	1.23
Trevelin Queen	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	10	-13	18.4	15.6	2.76	14.1	13.6	0.46
Moritz Wagner	54	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	14	-21	14.9	16.9	-2.04	14.1	13.3	0.73
Anthony Black	25	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	17	-27	15.0	16.2	-1.21	13.5	13.7	-0.18
Cole Anthony	63	62	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.20	-17	24	-41	16.2	15.5	0.69	13.4	14.1	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, BOS 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.98,1	90.4%
POR 111, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	89.6%
WAS 120, CHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.92,0.91,0.93,1	88.9%