NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	138		Excitement	4.5 [863]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +20.3%
Atlanta Hawks	141		Comeback	1.0 [788]		LVP	Isaiah Joe (OKC): -3.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	7	93%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindy Waters III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jalen Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	12	72%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Luguentz Dort	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	7	70%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jaylin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	24	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.01	-0.05	16	64%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.01	18	70%	0.18	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	18	55%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	4	85%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.12	6	-0.09	11	91%	0.02
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	12	38%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.5	26.4	14.6	38.2	2.3	34.3	147.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.0%

ATL +8.7%

ATL +8.8%

ATL +5.8%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ATL	NBA	OKC	ATL	NBA
this game	12.6	14.3	14.5	129.0	131.8	113.9
season	13.8	14.2		117.6	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.7		118.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	11.4	13.7	10.5	12.6
ATL	11.9	12.6	14.0	19.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	65	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.42	11	-14	25	11.6	14.1	-2.45	15.5	12.6	2.85
Lindy Waters III	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-8	13	12.4	12.7	-0.32	14.6	14.1	0.50
Chet Holmgren	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-2	1	12.3	12.9	-0.61	14.6	14.0	0.55
Josh Giddey	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-4	5	12.3	12.9	-0.56	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Jalen Williams	80	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-6	9	11.8	15.0	-3.20	15.3	11.8	3.49
Jaylin Williams	33	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	7	-17	14.9	11.6	3.37	12.6	15.1	-2.49
Aaron Wiggins	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	4	-11	12.1	13.0	-0.84	14.9	13.9	0.97
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-5	7	12.8	12.0	0.88	13.9	15.6	-1.71
Cason Wallace	42	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	13	-29	14.2	11.6	2.61	13.1	15.1	-1.95
Isaiah Joe	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	0	-3	13.3	12.2	1.07	12.9	15.2	-2.36

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-3	9	13.5	16.7	-3.15	12.7	12.2	0.55
Onyeka Okongwu	49	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-11	25	14.0	14.6	-0.64	13.4	11.9	1.51
Dejounte Murray	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	-1	5	14.1	14.9	-0.79	12.6	12.7	-0.10
Bogdan Bogdanovic	60	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-8	19	14.1	14.6	-0.51	13.3	11.6	1.74
Trent Forrest	30	31	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	-4	11	12.1	15.2	-3.12	16.0	11.2	4.78
Jalen Johnson	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	4	-5	15.2	12.9	2.32	11.1	15.1	-4.00
Trae Young	77	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.48	-9	12	-21	14.9	12.8	2.14	11.7	14.9	-3.19
Clint Capela	57	56	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	12	-21	14.4	14.2	0.28	12.2	13.0	-0.82
Garrison Mathews	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	11	-19	16.1	13.4	2.67	12.4	12.7	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 86, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 74, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%