NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	131		Excitement	9.6 [97]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +42.4%
Houston Rockets	127		Comeback	7.0 [207]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -5.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4	0.24	0.15	-0.02	26	63%	0.39	1	0.01	15	93%	0.07
Patrick Beverley	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.38,0.38	0.08	0.29	-0.00	4	90%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29	0.08	0.20	-0.01	8	67%	0.30	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.25	0.01	0.24	-0.01	12	54%	0.29	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	81%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	18	61%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.42	0.42	0.21	0.21	-0.01	19	74%	0.44	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.06	0.01	16	82%	0.38	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.05
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	16	78%	0.36	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.09	0.00	4	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	38%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	30.2	14.7	22.7	2.3	39.4	138.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +4.4%

PHI +32.4%

HOU -9.6%

PHI +20.8%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	14.5	135.1	129.6	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		115.6	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		112.2	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	13.5	15.9	14.3	14.4
HOU	14.8	15.3	14.1	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris Sr.	56	57	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-6	16	13.7	15.4	-1.74	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Patrick Beverley	40	40	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-3	10	14.1	14.6	-0.49	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Tobias Harris	69	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	15.2	12.5	2.69	15.8	13.7	2.10
De'Anthony Melton	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	14.7	13.5	1.25	15.6	13.9	1.65
Tyrese Maxey	84	85	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	4	-4	14.4	14.5	-0.06	15.1	15.5	-0.48
Robert Covington	33	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	1	2	13.2	15.0	-1.82	14.2	15.6	-1.43
Danuel House Jr.	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-1	6	13.3	14.8	-1.49	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Mo Bamba	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	13.6	14.5	-0.88	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Kelly Oubre Jr.	49	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	8	-12	15.1	13.7	1.48	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Paul Reed	48	49	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.08	-6	10	-16	14.7	14.1	0.63	15.6	14.7	0.86

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-4	4	15.6	15.0	0.57	12.4	14.9	-2.48
Alperen Sengun	68	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.39	12	-16	28	15.1	15.1	0.08	15.5	12.0	3.49
Jock Landale	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	2	-8	14.3	15.3	-1.00	11.8	15.0	-3.14
Jae'Sean Tate	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	15.0	15.4	-0.39	14.8	13.4	1.36
Aaron Holiday	33	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	1	-6	13.7	15.8	-2.15	13.3	15.0	-1.64
Jeff Green	68	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	3	-10	15.5	14.3	1.23	14.8	13.5	1.32
Fred VanVleet	85	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.3	13.8	1.56	14.8	11.7	3.14
Tari Eason	56	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	14.9	15.5	-0.62	13.2	16.0	-2.72
Jalen Green	73	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	3	-10	15.5	13.9	1.61	14.7	13.6	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.62,0.59,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.67,0.42,0	92.0%
LAL 103, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.7%
SAS 91, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.59,0	90.3%